The author is assuming Israel using the Sampson Option. A truly frightening scenario, which by some Israeli defense experts would effectively reduce Islam to number 4 in world population behind Christianity, Hinduism and Buddhism with the complete and utter destruction of Iran, the Arabian peninsula, Indonesia, Turkey, Lebanon, Syria, Pakistan Jordan, etc. At least 100-300 million casualties in the first day. The Masada defense of Israel. This would make most if not all of Southern Europe, North Africa and the Arabian peninsula uninhabitable for hundreds of years. And as far as oil, how about 500 dollars a barrel.
Short of first being attacked with a nuclear weapon, I doubt any of Isreals current leaders have the guts to do anything against Iran. Same with us. Therefor, I'm hoping mother nature can save us all the trouble and depopulate large portions of asia and the middle east for us. A Bird Flu pandemic would do the trick.