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Schwarzenegger's re - election chances up
The Argus ^ | Jan. 13, 2005 | Steve Geissinger

Posted on 01/13/2006 4:35:43 PM PST by FairOpinion

A recent poll shows the born-again "moderate" Republican governor has gained back some popularity, especially in the Bay Area, and is now in a dead heat with Democratic competitors.

"Our survey demonstrates that Schwarzenegger's retreat from the more conservative rhetoric and agenda he brandished during the latter part of 2005 has paid off among middle-of-the road voters," said Melinda Jackson, director of the Survey and Policy Research Institute at San Jose State University.

The governor's job performance rating among voters in a Democrat-leaning state has climbed from 36 percent positive and 53 percent negative in September, to 40 percent positive and 51 percent negative this month.

(Excerpt) Read more at insidebayarea.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: arnold; arnoldpoll; cagop; calgov2006; california; camilk; popularity; republicrat; rino; schwarzenegger; sjsu; sjsupoll
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To: calcowgirl; NormsRevenge

I think maybe the Schwartzenegger Swoon is just about spent! Now would be the perfect time for a class candidate to strike!!!


961 posted on 01/19/2006 9:50:35 PM PST by SierraWasp (EnvironMentalism... America's establishment of it's unconstitutional State Religion!!!)
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To: FairOpinion
This poll doesn't mean much at this point. Tactically, the Dem/MSM Cabal was not ready for his move to the liberal side, and they have not yet come up with a strategy to destroy him and get one their own elected.

Mostly, they plan on digging in, showing him to be ineffective no matter what is proposed. They will put the most ridiculous requirements on any negotiation in order to sabotage any progress. The tricky part for the new Gov. S. staff will be trying to stop them from getting away with it, and coming up with a narrative that the press can sink their teeth into.

My guess is he will keep moving all over the spectrum politically to keep them from triangulating on him.
962 posted on 01/19/2006 10:00:54 PM PST by Wiseghy ("You want to break this army? Then break your word to it.")
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To: Wiseghy

"My guess is he will keep moving all over the spectrum politically to keep them from triangulating on him."

==

I certainly hope so. The Dems are attacking him and try to paint him as a "right winger", so independents don't vote for him, some so-called conservatives are attacking him, because he is not conservative enough.

He has to do masterful zigging and zagging to keep from either side triangulating on him, as you said.

A win by any of the Dems would be a total disaster for CA. And I am very suspicious of Al Gore's sudden move to CA.


963 posted on 01/19/2006 11:00:43 PM PST by FairOpinion
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To: FairOpinion
He has to do masterful zigging and zagging to keep from either side triangulating on him, as you said

Exactly.

And I am very suspicious of Al Gore's sudden move to CA.

There was also a rumor concerning Bill Clinton and a move to Microsoft/Washington State.

After Presidential election 2004, Howard Dean blurted out the Dems' intentions to lock in the "west", about 7 or 9 states, he said. (My first thought? The electricity grids. 7 or 9 states. They used to regularly be "affected" on big election days in CA. Not necessarily a linked thing; just what my gut proffered up. ;>)

And there have been articles discussing that Al Gore, in fact, can RUN for office given the "Candidate Requirements" in CA. In sum: Al Gore MUST be "king"! lol. Do you think he might be subliminally saying to all those nutcakes saying the election was "stolen from Al Gore": Prove that you love me.

ick.

964 posted on 01/20/2006 5:18:24 AM PST by Alia
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To: SierraWasp
... Now would be the perfect time for a class candidate to strike!!!

Got anyone in mind? As soon as someone pops up, I'm sure y'all will begin to strike him.

965 posted on 01/20/2006 5:31:02 AM PST by 68 grunt (3/1 India, 3rd, 68-69, 0311)
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To: calcowgirl
... So much for immortality, huh?

If the ilk would not have responded by mutually satisfactying each other the thread may have faded. This has been a telling thread with the ilk exposing themselves like a naked emperor.

966 posted on 01/20/2006 5:34:51 AM PST by 68 grunt (3/1 India, 3rd, 68-69, 0311)
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To: Wiseghy
... and coming up with a narrative that the press can sink their teeth into. ...

The press is in the pocket of the enemy, as are the ilk.

967 posted on 01/20/2006 5:37:02 AM PST by 68 grunt (3/1 India, 3rd, 68-69, 0311)
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To: 68 grunt; truth_seeker; Amerigomag

"This has been a telling thread with the ilk exposing themselves like a naked emperor."


===

So true. They are a bunch of "faux-conservative" shilling for the Democrats, while proclaiming loudly how conservative they are. And nothing satisfly them,except Dem elected candidates.

When someone, such as truth_seeker, made very sensible suggestions of how to strengthen the Republican Party in CA over time to have more success, they rejected the idea and piled on, showing, once again, that their aim is NOT to elected conservatives, but Democrats. They are just doing it by attacking everyone -- except Dems -- as "not being conservative enough".

Here is one example where Amerigomag admits he prefers "conservative Dems" to Republicans, and please see the rest of the exchange:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1561694/posts?page=85#85

To: FairOpinion
They'll vote for... whoever the Dem candidate?
If the CADEM should offer a conservative Democrat next November they'd run over the Wilsonegger gang .... with the support of conservatives from both parties.

Its not the party registration that matters, it's the candidate's principles. To this Republican a conservative Democrat is preferable to a liberal Republican.

Party registration is not the issue. Political philosophy trumps party registration every time and usually makes for partisan success.


85 posted on 01/20/2006 7:27:26 PM PST by Amerigomag





To: Amerigomag; truth_seeker
"To this Republican a conservative Democrat is preferable to a liberal Republican."


Please name any prominent "conservative Democrat" in California. Barbara Boxer or Al Gore perhaps?

What you are demonstrating is that YOU are the one trolling for the Democrats.



87 posted on 01/20/2006 7:36:37 PM PST by FairOpinion




To: FairOpinion
Please name any prominent "conservative Democrat" in California

Ronald Reagan.


92 posted on 01/20/2006 8:05:52 PM PST by Amerigomag




To: Amerigomag; doodlelady; Alia
"Please name any prominent "conservative Democrat" in California

Ronald Reagan."

======


This is an insult to Reagan in the first place.

But since you brought up Reagan --- do you think today's Dem party will nominate him as in the gubernatorial race to run against Arnold? (With apologies to Ronald Reagan's memory, but this is just to show you how pathetic your reply was)

Then it shows that if you consider Reagan a "conservative Democrat", just who would be a "Republican" in your book.

Also, even Democrats of a long time ago would be considered way too conservative for today's Democrat Party. JFK enacted the largest tax cut of his time -- how many Dems would do that today?

And finally, you yourself ADMITTED by naming Ronald Reagan as a conservative Democrat in CA, that today there are NO conservative Dems in CA, which is what I said in the first place. So when you said, you want to see a Democrat elected in CA, the likes of Angelides, Boxer, Gore, over Arnold. YOU ARE NO CONSERVATIVE, but a shill for the Democrats, a DICC (Democrat in Conservative Clothing, a faux-conservative.



136 posted on 01/21/2006 10:31:00 AM PST by FairOpinion

=======



968 posted on 01/21/2006 10:42:26 AM PST by FairOpinion
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To: FairOpinion
"I'm the people's governor. I'm the governor of the Democrats and the Republicans. So I cannot just cater to one party,'' said Wilsonegger

We will overcome! All the CAGOP policies are ours.

969 posted on 01/21/2006 10:54:38 AM PST by Amerigomag
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To: Amerigomag

Let me repeat, since you still don't get it:


http://www.ppic.org/content/pubs/JTF_VoterProfilesJTF.pdf


The Democratic Party currently has an advantage of 1.4 million voters over the Republican Party (7.1 million to 5.7 million) or 9 percentage points (43% to 34%), according to the Secretary of State.

Democratic voters (34%) are as likely as Republican voters (32%) to say that their party loyalty is “not very strong.” However, the fact that independents are more likely to lean toward Democrats than Republicans (42% to 28%) tends to work to the disadvantage of the GOP in statewide elections.


970 posted on 01/21/2006 11:00:08 AM PST by FairOpinion
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To: FairOpinion
And the answer is to support a liberal, Wilsonegger?

Seems a curious logic. Usually a state party organization pays some attention to its traditions and philosophical principles.

I guess that's why the CAGOP is in the hole. They just keep digging. Must have been a stunner for those toiling with their spades yesterday when Wilsonegger advised that he supported and represented Democrats.

971 posted on 01/21/2006 11:10:04 AM PST by Amerigomag
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To: Amerigomag

Please list the names of Republicans in state wide elected positions in CA, with the exception of Arnold.


972 posted on 01/21/2006 11:22:10 AM PST by FairOpinion
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To: FairOpinion

Bruce McPherson


973 posted on 01/21/2006 11:26:35 AM PST by Amerigomag
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To: Amerigomag

AND....???

Not to mention the ratio in the CA Legislature of Dem vs. R.


974 posted on 01/21/2006 11:35:23 AM PST by FairOpinion
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To: FairOpinion
AND....???

Bill Leonard and Claude Parrish.

975 posted on 01/21/2006 11:38:04 AM PST by Amerigomag
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To: Amerigomag

And their postitions are?

Is the Lt. Governor a Republican?

Are key state offices filled by Republicans?

Who was the Governor prior to Arnold?

After maligning Wilson as "RINO", we got Gray Davis, I am sure our faux-conservatives considered that an improvement, just like now, I am sure you will be happier with Al Gore, after Arnold.


976 posted on 01/21/2006 11:51:17 AM PST by FairOpinion
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To: Amerigomag

The Lincoln Club must have choked on their martinis the other day:

http://www.flashreport.org/blog.php?

Pollster Steve Kinney - I'm not confident that the Governor will seek re-election.
by Mike Spence - Los Angeles County
1-20-2006 9:50 am

This morning meeting of the San Gabriel Valley Lincoln Club featured pollster Steve Kinney. Steve is great pollster and I enjoy and incorporate many of his messages into political. He has worked for liberals and conservatives.

Kinney showed through data that California is not the radical left-wing state that the media makes it out to be. Our poll numbers are virtually the same on issues as they are in the rest of the country. There is an exception in illegal immigration. California is more concerned about illegals than the rest of the country.

Kinney also listed several issues that polled high in intensity among Californians. The Governor managed to mention only one of them in his State of the State speech (sex offenders).

Kinney also pointed out that the Governor didn't do well among GOP voters in the special election. I'm sure more debt and fees should do the trick.

In response to a question, Kinney explained that he hasn't given up hope on the Governor and hoped the "new blood" of Aguiar, Mendelsohn and Schmidt would help. He also added that he wasn't "confident that the Governor was going to seek re-election." Interesting indeed.


977 posted on 01/21/2006 1:44:57 PM PST by calcowgirl
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To: FairOpinion

Hey, Fair Opinion. How many Democrat governors were there in the whole last century?

FOUR! Count 'em!


978 posted on 01/21/2006 1:48:23 PM PST by calcowgirl
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To: calcowgirl

"Hey, Fair Opinion. How many Democrat governors were there in the whole last century?

FOUR! Count 'em! "


===

The fallacy with your argument is that California has gotten MUCH much more liberal, even leftist since 20-30-50 years ago. AND the Dems have become much more leftists as a party. As I pointed out in another post, JFK wouldn't fit into today's Dem party, because he was FOR taxcuts, and asked "ask not what the the country can do for you, ask what you can do for the country". Today's Dems are only interested in what the country can do for them.

ALSO you inssist on IGNORING TODAY'S SITUATION of the CURRENT demgraphics, which I posted several times, and all the faux-conservatives are ignoring it, because it sinks their entire argument that they are against a moderate Republican, because they prefer a conservative, when in fact it's obvious to everyone sho takes a look at the numbers that a snowball has better chances in that hot place, than California voters electing a conservative to a statewide office.

Here are the FACTS and NUMBERS for the umpteenth time:



http://www.ppic.org/content/pubs/JTF_VoterProfilesJTF.pdf


The Democratic Party currently has an advantage of 1.4 million voters over the Republican Party (7.1 million to 5.7 million) or 9 percentage points (43% to 34%), according to the Secretary of State.

Democratic voters (34%) are as likely as Republican voters (32%) to say that their party loyalty is “not very strong.” However, the fact that independents are more likely to lean toward Democrats than Republicans (42% to 28%) tends to work to the disadvantage of the GOP in statewide elections.



979 posted on 01/21/2006 2:25:32 PM PST by FairOpinion
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To: FairOpinion
...The fallacy with your argument ...

I didn't make an argument. I asked a question, and gave you the answer.

ALSO you inssist on IGNORING TODAY'S SITUATION of the CURRENT demgraphics, which I posted several times, and all the faux-conservatives are ignoring it...

No. I responded before (at least once) to party registration information that was already well known.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1557792/posts?page=916#916

FairOpinion: The Democratic Party currently has an advantage of 1.4 million voters over the Republican Party (7.1 million to 5.7 million) or 9 percentage points (43% to 34%), according to the Secretary of State.

calcowgirl: Yep. I posted those numbers upthread a couple times.

If folks aren't buying the conclusion, I don't think spamming it on multiple threads and putting things in SCREAMING text is going to improve the argument any.

Here are the FACTS and NUMBERS for the umpteenth time:

The Democratic Party currently has an advantage of 1.4 million voters over the Republican Party (7.1 million to 5.7 million) or 9 percentage points (43% to 34%), according to the Secretary of State.

Why do you keep spamming the same thing? Besides, party registration is already well known and acknowledged--and responded to. (Actually, the Republican registration is 35%--rounded up from 34.7--but who's counting?) [Source: Secretary of State - Pdf File]

980 posted on 01/21/2006 3:20:04 PM PST by calcowgirl
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