The Davis seat is now a gerrymandered Dem bastion. This seat in the bad GOP climate right now is marginal however, the most marginal in San Diego county. Bush carried it by about 10%, and it is slowly trending Dem. It is too close to San Diego, and not exurban enough. The big GOP precincts in San Diego County are in Issa's and that House check kiting guy's districts, whose name escapes me for the moment. I think it is Hunter, no?
Actually, having checked, the Davis seat is Kerry plus 7.5%, and the Cunningham seat is Bush plus 11% on checking. So the Davis seat is more marginal on paper, but not right now, no way, Jose, given the climate and the Dem incumbency factor.
Of course, aren't all the seats in CA gerrymandered ? I'm not totally buying into the claims of this being a bad climate for the GOP (if only because the Democrats can't present any positive counter-agenda other than to say "we're not Republicans." When the GOP tried that in '98 with the "we're not Clinton" schtick, it blew up in our faces). That's rather disheartening to hear that the seat is trending Democrat, we can ill-afford to slip any further in California, especially in these strongholds. Of course, the CA GOP as of late aren't exactly the brightest crayons in the box. Yes, Hunter was the one caught up in the check-kiting scandal (which I had to go to an older Almanac of American Politics to reconfirm, as the newer editions no longer mention it).