Posted on 01/11/2006 3:56:16 PM PST by NormsRevenge
The general in this race is going to be close. I really don't know who has the best chance to win among the Pubbies, because other than Bilbray I don't know them well enough. Bilbray is a bit of a beta type. It is a mistake to always assume the most moderate Pubbie will be the strongest candidate (as I am sure you will agree :) ), even in a somewhat moderate district, which it is now, like this one. Presentation counts.
You don't think DOUBLING the minimum wage in one swoop will have a substantial deleterious impact on employment? What is your empirical and theoretical economic evidence for that? Even the Dems don't advocate that.
I see my name has popped up. :)
Post 45. You can tell which post by looking at the bottom of my post.
The heavy burden that our local and state governments carry must be shifted to the federal government.
Isn't this usually the sign that if the Federal Government pays for it, the problem is solved? Not good enough in my book. Time to start enforcing the laws against those are here illegally, particularly through enforcement action against employers. Increasing enforcement will act as a strong deterrent and an incentive for those here illegally to flee to their homeland and avoid prosecution.
Not that is evident, but I'm not well connected. I'm only reading news articles and such.
We still have liberallarry on this site, and is murrymom still around? And then we have Churchillbuff, a fundamentalist isolationist antiwar Christian. And then there is Willy Green, a hard core protectionist, state control of the economy, advocate. Am I more "liberal" than those folks? Obviously, it depends in part on how you weight the issues. Cheers.
I'd have no problem with Bilbray if he wanted a rematch with Susan Davis, I just think he is a poor fit for this seat. I prefer Kaloogian over Morrow, but both are good men. I don't know what is the deal with Roach, and I tend to be very wary of rich guys coming in trying to buy a seat in a seat that doesn't require buying (if he wants to do it with a Dem-held seat, again, be my guest). The two Republicans that come to mind that did that were no gems, Darrell Issa being one, and Michael Huffington being the other (and his little stunt ended up turning a safe GOP seat into a Democrat one).
Ick. Don't ping the trolls. ;-)
The Davis seat is now a gerrymandered Dem bastion. This seat in the bad GOP climate right now is marginal however, the most marginal in San Diego county. Bush carried it by about 10%, and it is slowly trending Dem. It is too close to San Diego, and not exurban enough. The big GOP precincts in San Diego County are in Issa's and that House check kiting guy's districts, whose name escapes me for the moment. I think it is Hunter, no?
Well when I mention someone, I ping them. It is a hard wired rule of mine.
Actually, having checked, the Davis seat is Kerry plus 7.5%, and the Cunningham seat is Bush plus 11% on checking. So the Davis seat is more marginal on paper, but not right now, no way, Jose, given the climate and the Dem incumbency factor.
Of course, aren't all the seats in CA gerrymandered ? I'm not totally buying into the claims of this being a bad climate for the GOP (if only because the Democrats can't present any positive counter-agenda other than to say "we're not Republicans." When the GOP tried that in '98 with the "we're not Clinton" schtick, it blew up in our faces). That's rather disheartening to hear that the seat is trending Democrat, we can ill-afford to slip any further in California, especially in these strongholds. Of course, the CA GOP as of late aren't exactly the brightest crayons in the box. Yes, Hunter was the one caught up in the check-kiting scandal (which I had to go to an older Almanac of American Politics to reconfirm, as the newer editions no longer mention it).
I'm under no illusions of us taking back the Davis seat at the current time, only that I would support Bilbray if he attempted to challenge Davis. As I said, in Dem-leaning districts, the Republicans ought to recruit wealthy candidates who can self-fund (after all, buying Senate seats in more competitive areas is the Dems M.O.).
Is Bilbray a trust fund baby or something?
Well yes, as a matter of fact, by deliberately mischaracterizing my economic views, you've demonstrated Klintonian "honesty" countless times.
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