[Torie]

Hey John, I bet it never occurred to you that I am just another chimp pounding the keyboard when it comes to political predictions did it? LOL. Humility is a Christian virtue that cannot be totally dismissed by the secular humanist crowd I guess. That sucks.

January 05, 2006 Evaluating Political Pundits The Wall Street Journal reviews Expert Political Judgment by Philip Tetlock and finds "the prognostications of political pundits are about as accurate as a chimp throwing darts."

"From 1987 to 2003, Prof. Tetlock coaxed 284 political experts of all stripes -- academics, journalists and think-tankers from across the political spectrum -- to make specific, verifiable forecasts. He looked at more than 27,000 predictions in all... What he found is that people with expertise in explaining events that have happened aren't very successful at predicting what will happen."

[jwalsh07]

Would you like me to contact the Professor on your behalf?

I will do it in a heartbeat and I will tell him that I've been observing your prognostications for years and that you're pretty damn good. Say the word, I'll open his eyes.

[fieldmarshaldj]

Nuttin' but us chimps around here. :-D