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To: farlander

Like you I like customer-salesman logic very much. But it doesn't work in monopolistic environment. And pity it is not applied by neoKGB to a friedly regime of Belarus. Russia's cards are weak since 80% of EU exports are going trough the territory of Ukraine. Both parties need to find a satisfactory solution. Blackmail won't help. To Putie's regret USSR is over...


6 posted on 01/03/2006 11:56:27 PM PST by twinself
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To: twinself

Just an early skirmish in the Peak Oil Energy Wars to come.


7 posted on 01/04/2006 12:17:57 AM PST by Travis McGee (--- www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com ---)
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To: twinself

Fair enough - but Russians have played this very well, actually. What they did is the forced the EU (Germans, to be exact) to do their dirty work for them. I can assure you Germany's screaming bloody murder at the Ukrainians. And you're incorrect - only 25% of EU exports go through Ukraine. Russians said, ok, we're turning the gas back up, but if there's a drop in gas, means Ukrainans are siphoning off. They'll even put the EU observers in the pump stations to show the EU they're pumping, but if gas doesn't arrive in EU, means Ukraine's taking the gas. Puts the Ukraine between the rock and the hard place. Try explaining the Germans where the gas went.

As far as I'm concerned, Russians are welcome to give discounts to whom they like. If they like Belarus, let them sell gas to them at a loss. I don't care. But I can't support Ukraine moaning/groaning about being charged market prices. I can guarantee you Ukraine's independence from Russia rates far below Germany's (and EU's) need for the natural gas on their list of priorities.


9 posted on 01/04/2006 9:53:08 AM PST by farlander
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