So, where is the FR Pool for start dates?
I'm picking Valentine's Day
Also, don't forget that the population centers of the Middle East are generally confined to a few fertile river valleys. You could kill three quarters of the population of Egypt with one large bomb on the Aswan High Dam. Saudi Arabia would cease to exist as a nation if its handful of large cities were attacked with half a dozen nuclear weapons.
The Samson Option is real, and if exercised, the Arab world would be practically obliterated.
I leave it as an exercise for the reader to decide whether that is a bad thing...
-ccm