I believe the Dem ticket in '08 will be Hillary with Evan Bayh as VP. Hillary doesn't need Richardson for the Hispanic vote or Obama for the Black vote...she's got that locked up already. What she will need is the married white vote, and Bayh gives her the best shot at making inroads there. Plus he's midwestern, and gives her a good chance at flipping Ohio blue.
I think you are right on target: it will be Bayh, unless he does something before 2008 to alienate the clintoid appartatus. And all she has to do to win is take OH! All the other 2004 Kerry states are automatically in her column. She won't even need IN, just OH. She is seriously on her way. I think that many of her supporters are just long-term admirers of Bill Clinton, thinking that victory for HRC will somehow result in Bill Clinton "taking care" of them again. Of course, he is taking care only of himself, but his supporters, many of most limited education and moral principles, don't understand the dichotomy. Remember the old poll that showed something like only 2 percent of the public said that their own moral principles were lower than those of their idol Bill Clinton. It's hard to admit it, but millions of Americans really do BELIEVE in the Clintons, and I don't think we can do a thing about it. These Clintons have their own pipeline to the American voter.