One can't be a politically conservative reform Jew, without one's progeny becoming something other than Jews, eh? I suspect you are right as a statistical matter, but not as an individual matter. Don't confuse the micro with the macro. I depends on the example the parents set. My father profoundly influenced my values, and world view. All the education in the world, and I have a lot of it, didn't alter much of what my father inculcated in me, by example. It just didn't.
That's a very well put argument, and summation of the debate.
"One can't be a politically conservative reform Jew, without one's progeny becoming something other than Jews, eh? I suspect you are right as a statistical matter, but not as an individual matter."
That sums it up very nicely.