Atlantic SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT

000 WONT41 KNHC 172024 DSAAT SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 425 PM EST THU NOV 17 2005

SATELLITE IMAGERY AND REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE LARGE LOW PRESSURE AREA NEAR THE EAST COAST OF NICARAGUA HAS NOT DEVELOPED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. WHILE THE AIRCRAFT REPORTED A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1003 MB IN THE LOW...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN BOTH COVERAGE AND ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.

THE AIRCRAFT ALSO INVESTIGATED THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN TO THE NORTH OF EASTERN HONDURAS AND DID NOT FIND A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION. HOWEVER...THE PLANE REPORTED WINDS OF NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ASSOCIATED WITH SHOWER ACTIVITY IN THIS AREA.

THERE IS STILL POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM OVER THE WESTERN OR NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO... AND INTERESTS IN THIS AREA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS COMPLEX SYSTEM. EVEN IF DEVELOPMENT DOES NOT OCCUR...HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

ANOTHER AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM TOMORROW...IF NECESSARY.

Will we yet see Gamma this season? Maybe the remnants of TD 27 and this large low pressure area will merge and develop into something.

No to Gore or Gorelick (did we ever decide which name we'd use?)

2 posted on 11/17/2005 3:42:21 PM PST by steveegg (Take two - throw those long knives at the DemonRATs and lieberals - and include the RINOs)

No to Gore or Gorelick (did we ever decide which name we'd use?)

Gorbaschev, Gore, Gorelick. They are all the same.

3 posted on 11/17/2005 3:50:11 PM PST by taxesareforever (Government is running amuck)

The Weather Channel is deeply saddened.

LVM

4 posted on 11/17/2005 3:58:30 PM PST by LasVegasMac (HoOked on Fonics. Dun goOd For me?)

Since Alpha was Algore, I think Gamma should be Gorelick if it ever shows up.

Meanwhile, I don't like the way two of these models show this thing recurving in Florida's direction, especially if it does develop:

5 posted on 11/17/2005 4:00:49 PM PST by laz (France, la chaussure est sur l'autre pied, non?)

It's going to be close to freezing tonight in the FL panhandle..I'm not worried about any more storms this season :)

6 posted on 11/17/2005 4:17:48 PM PST by goresalooza (Nurses Rock!)

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