I'm not surprised at all about either Bartlett or Gilcrest. Nothing to do with hunting either. Barlett has spoken to congress on several occasions on peak oil. Gilcrest has joined him.
Peak Oil Presentation in the US Congress http://www.energybulletin.net/4733.html
Video: Rep. Bartlett's Peak Oil Presentation to the US Congress
http://www.energybulletin.net/5080.html
US Congressman Roscoe Bartlett discusses Peak Oil on E&E TV http://www.energybulletin.net/5429.html
Second Bartlett Speech to Congress on Peak Oil to be Covered Live by C-SPAN http://www.energybulletin.net/5437.html
Congressman Bartlett on Peak Oil on C-SPAN tonight http://www.energybulletin.net/5710.html
Interview with Roscoe Bartlett on Peak Oil http://www.energybulletin.net/5790.html
Transcript: Third Peak Oil Presentation by Congressman Bartlett http://www.energybulletin.net/5948.html
Transcript: Fourth Peak Oil Presentation by US Congressman Bartlett, collegues. http://www.energybulletin.net/6082.html
Congressman Bartlett discusses peak oil with President Bush http://www.energybulletin.net/7024.html
From Roscoe Bartlett's first presentation (March 15, 2005):
Many people would like to open up ANWR. ANWR has considerably less oil than Prudhoe Bay, so the contribution will be significantly less. I want to note on this chart we also have the red curve, which is the theoretical curve for the former Soviet Union. It is a nice bell curve, peaking a little higher, they have more reserves than we do, and later because we entered the industrial age with vigor before the Soviet Union was quite there. Notice what happened when they came apart; notice how precipitously it fell here. After they got things organized, the fall stopped and now they are producing more oil. As a matter of fact, we might see a little upsurge in this; but the general trend is still going to be down.
On the next chart, and we have here the same Hubbert Curve, but the abscissa is a little too long and the ordinate a little too compressed, so it is not the sharp peak that we saw before. That is the curve we saw before. It shows the Texas component, and it shows the rest of the United States; and it also shows some natural gas liquids. We learned how to extract those a little later. So if you were plotting that as a bell curve, it would peak about here. It is little and then it is much, and then it tails off.
This is the contribution of Alaska, and you can see this not going to be our salvation to pump ANWR because ANWR contains probably not even half as much as Prudhoe Bay. And notice the small contribution that Alaska made. And that is not a bell curve for the reason I mentioned before because we had to develop the fields and they waited for the pipeline, and then it would surge through the pipeline when it was developed. So you do not see the tail getting greater and tailing off.
Thanks. I'd forgotten about that aspect of Bartlett's view.