Los Angeles COUNTY, unlike the city of Los Angeles, only leans slightly to the left. Right now 73 is narrowly failing and 75 is narrowly passing in LA county.
There's still hope. San Bernardino + OC should put us over the top
You're exactly right. The only numbers to watch are LA and San Bernardino Counties. Look for high 50s from SB and even #s in LA. If that occurs, 73 and 75 win.