Posted on 10/27/2005 12:39:49 PM PDT by procomone
(CBS) Attorney Andrew Cohen analyzes legal issues for CBS News and CBSNews.com.
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Did a lamb just get slaughtered?
Dont believe for a second that concerns about executive privilege doomed the Supreme Court nomination of White House counsel Harriet Miers.
The privilege issue is just political cover a convenient excuse, really to allow President Bush to do what he had to do to avoid further embarrassment for himself and his buddy.
The Miers nomination was getting worse, not better, for the White House everyone knows it and this dramatic move allows the whole gang to hit the re-set button and start over.
Miers now devolves into an historical footnote; forever known as a devout woman, a good lawyer, and a loyal political supporter and president's friend who simply didnt come close to having the qualifications necessary to be a Supreme Court justice.
She was second-shelf material seeking a job that demands top-shelf talent. She should never have been asked to take the job, she should never have accepted, and this result is the best the American people could have hoped for.
But now what? Many smart people have suggested to me in the weeks since Miers was nominated that she never was serious candidate for the Supreme Court; that she was, instead, a sacrificial lamb.
Under this scenario, which is only mildly paranoid when you think about it, the president picked Miers knowing that her nomination ultimately would fail but also knowing that in failing the conditions would be riper for the selection of the sort of ultra-conservative red meat Supreme Court candidate the presidents right-wing covets.
The Miers nomination, in other words, was designed from the get-go to clear the path for the Presidents true choice.
Can this be? Why not. Anyone who has read those suck-up notes that Miers wrote to President Bush (theyve been published and posted everywhere, in case you are wondering) wouldnt have too hard a time believing that she would be wiling to sacrifice her own professional reputation for all eternity to further the political goals of the man to whom she has long hitched her star.
And Im not willing to blame the president even if this Machiavellian scenario is true; its quite conceivable that Miers herself volunteered to take the hit for the team. If we learned anything about her during her aborted confirmation process apart from the fact that she doesnt know enough about constitutional law to be a Supreme Court Justice we learned that she is a team player.
Well know if this dark theory is true as soon as the president announces his next choice to replace the retiring Associate Justice Sandra Day OConnor, who must be screaming into her robe these days as she sees pass by another opportunity to leave the bench.
The Miers withdrawal, incidentally, makes it much more likely that Justice OConnor will serve out the larger part of this term and be a part of some of its more controversial rulings, including the physician-assisted suicide case out of Oregon that was argued earlier this month.
If Miers is the historical loser in this latest saga, OConnor is the practical loser. She now has to stay at a job she has wanted to leave now for quite some time.
If the president picks a doctrinal conservative to replace Miers, the theory will gain some traction. If he picks a more centrist jurist to replace the centrist OConnor the theory will fall apart. If he picks a conservative candidate in the mold of Justice Antonin Scalia, Democrats will howl that the pick is a paean to the Republican right. If he picks a more moderate choice Republicans will howl, as they did with Miers in spite of her anti-abortion views, that the president is acting wobbly when he should be most strong.
If, in terms of decorum and political grandstanding, you look at the Roberts nomination at one end of the scale and the Miers nomination at the other, we are sure to get a candidate in the middle. Someone much less universally respected than Roberts but much more universally accepted than Miers.
Heres my best guess on what well likely see: the president will nominate a staunchly conservative female federal appeals court judge, someone who thus has a lot of behind-the-bench experience but who is immune from charges of political cronyism. There are plenty of such candidates out there.
When the Miers nomination first was announced, and when the first voices of doubt were raised about her qualifications, I listed several such female judges, any of whom would have made a more logical and defensible choice for the Supreme Court. All of these women pass the test that Miers could not all of them bring to the job interview the necessary academic, intellectual, and experiential qualifications. All have top-shelf minds and temperaments. And none have top-level access to the White House inner sanctum.
How about 6th U.S. Circuit Court Judge Alice M. Batchelder, 60, who has served on the bench since nominated by the first President Bush in 1991?
How about 9th U.S. Circuit Court Judge Conseulo Callahan, whom the current president appointed to the bench two years ago, at roughly the same time Chief Justice Roberts first made his way onto the judiciary?
What about 5th U.S. Circuit Court Judge Edith Clement, an appointee of the current president, who also is a member of the conservative Federalist Society?
Or 2nd U.S. Circuit Court Judge Sonia Sotomayor, first nominated to the bench by Bush the father?
These are just a few of the less controversial selections the president could make.
Such a choice would make the nominee immune from two of the most serious charges against Miers and, thus, significantly limit the arguments of opponents of her candidacy.
If this happens, we then would see the political battle over substantive legal issues that we never saw in full either with the Roberts nomination (on account of his stellar reputation and obvious intellectual brilliance) or the Miers nomination (on account of her failure to pass even basic tests of qualifications and experience).
We will see a fight on the merits instead of a fight over process; a fight where the issues that doomed Miers are stipulated as resolved by all concerned.
For Round Three of the Battle of the Judges we are likely, finally, to see the ugly, nasty, brutal, scorched-earth showdown thats been predicted for the past half year. Sen. Arlen Specter doesnt like how Miers was treated? Wait until he sees what happens to her successor nominee.
I'm sure that's what the DUmmies think.
Yes, it's all a brilliant plan by the evil genius Karl Rove! I love it!
Janice Rogers Brown would still be my first choice.
For Round Three of the Battle of the Judges we are likely, finally, to see the ugly, nasty, brutal, scorched-earth showdown thats been predicted for the past half year. Sen. Arlen Specter doesnt like how Miers was treated? Wait until he sees what happens to her successor nominee.
Bring it on.
Oh, bullsqueeze!
Nobody chained that beotch to her throne...err..chair. She could have left last year, or 4 years ago for that matter, had she really wanted to. She stayed hoping the Demoncraps would win the WH, and appoint another liberal to her seat. She could leave NOW if she were so inclined.
Bring it on!!!!
If she wanted to leave, then why didn't she leave? She certainly wasn't hanging around on account of us.
Sounds like a winner. Let's take her.
Surely we can find one qualified man.
BWAHAHAHAH!!! Is this guy nuts, or what? Can there be any doubt it was Karl Rove , the Architect, who engineered this so brilliantly?
By this logic, I predict that if the President names a conservative, it proves that Pluto is made of fudge.
So, like, this theory
will get shouted down, but then
the real theory comes!
She doomed herself with her views and her speeches and no I didn't want to find out after she's on the bench that she is a Les...
The rest were simply filling seats.
Perhaps I'll put O'Connor a bit onto the 'top shelf' but not in the same category as Rehnquist, Thomas and Scalia.
As for the rest.....nothing 'top shelf' about them at all.
Will they change their tune and call for a take back and nominate someone who already stepped aside? All the notables and quotables have expressed concerns one way or the other regarding family or personal issues. They've already given a loaded gun to the opposition when the told Dobson, Land etal about the reason the "known entities" were left behind or asked not to be nominated.
In that case, perhaps she'd be a good choice.
The President would never in a million years wish for the abuse heaped upon Harriet Meiers.
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