Posted on 10/27/2005 11:28:11 AM PDT by Alex Marko
Concern within the UN has been growing over anticipated trouble in Kosovo's 'final status' talks. The threat of inter-ethnic violence has been growing with the recent allegations of Ramush Haradinaj (ex-PM indicted on war crimes) support for a new rebel group called the "Kosovo Independence Army" (UPK) who have sprouted up searching cars in the lawless regions of the province. The international body has already ruled out partition along ethnic lines, union with Albania, and autonomy under Serbian rule. This effectively leaves one option only: conditional independence with international peacekeepers enforcing the province's status. Both parties will most likely object to the outcome with 90% of Kosovo demanding full independence and Serbia-Montenegro's leaders outright rejecting separation from its historical birthplace to what it calls Islamic terrorists.
Tensions within the Albanian community might rise to the point of targeted attacks on NATO officials with the likelihood of spreading violence further into western Macedonia. Similar incidents, like that of the violence in March of 2004, are inevitable with the negotiations looking to run for an extended period of time and Kosovo's inhabitants running short on patience.
Critics argue an independent Kosovo will set a new precedent around the world concerning armed struggles by violent extremists with all eyes on the Russias Chechnya province, Frances Corsican island and Turkeys Kurdish rebel groups. Supporters state that Serbias rule was unacceptable and drastic intervention was necessary for the stability of the region.
quagmire
Thank you Clinton and Albanian lobby.
Liberism is a mental disorder...
Er...liberalism too...*grin*
An ethnically cleansed Muslim Hell Hole is it's status already.
People just won't admit it is all.
Not quite correct--a heightened autonomy has not been ruled out and that, in fact, is Serbia's position. They call it "more than autonomy, less than independence." Of course the Kosovars want independence and the most likely compromise is "conditional independence"; independence in name, but with international supervison and the promise of steps toward future de facto independence.
However, if both Belgrade & Pristina both agreed on something else, such as a partition, I suspect the U.S. and the rest of the international community would be more than happy to agree as well.
About the only thing that really seems impossible is a return to the pre-1999 status of direct rule by Serbia over Kosovo. Not even Belgrade is asking for that anymore.
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