To: nwctwx
Fortunately the pattern has changed quite a bit. It will be difficult to get anything into the Gulf after Wilma until at least 5-10 days into November. By then, we should be running out of time for more. I think we could get 3 or 4 names deep into the Greek alphabet though.
On Wilma, I see some newer models are strengthening her up on the trip to FL. Depending on where we get full interaction with the trough... she could come in a bit stronger than anticipated.Tell me more about the new models, please. Any change in landfall location?
To: NautiNurse
I think the southern 1/3 of the FL peninsula is still the best bet, some of the spread includes Tampa, but a storm hitting from the SW that far north on the peninsula is extremely rare. My general ideas from a few days ago remain the same, Punta Gorda area and south are at most risk still. 105-115 at landfall also still makes sense, but I do wonder how much strengthening we will see over water before the trough really grabs hold of her.
32 posted on
10/22/2005 1:48:20 PM PDT by
nwctwx
(Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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