I believe a southwest wind, which is likely according to the forecast track, could build up a terrific amount of water in Florida Bay all the way up to Key Largo, where Florida Bay ends in a tight corner.
But a southwest wind at Key West will bring surge in from the Gulf Stream, which is a little better scenario. However, the last winds felt from Wilma will be northwest, I think, bringing surge in from the GOM.
Let's hope this thing will be less intense than the forecast. Bearing in mind the possibility that it could also be more intense.
Daddy use to tell us that no matter what the meterologists said about hurricanes, prepare for the worse because they were very unpredictable. One thing he always said to watch out for was if the storm stalled over very warm water. Growing up in Charleston, I learned that no mater what the cat the storms are dangerous.