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Locked on 10/24/2005 2:24:18 AM PDT by Jim Robinson, reason:
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Posted on 10/22/2005 1:25:10 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Wilma slowly drifts toward the Southeast Gulf of Mexico after relentlessly pounding Cozumel and Cancun for more than 24 hours. Early reports indicate extensive wind and flood damage to Mexico's resort-studded Mayan Riviera. Mexican officials said about 20,000 tourists were at shelters and hotels on the mainland south of Cancun and an estimated 10,000-12,000 were in Cancun itself. About 50 hotels were evacuated.
In preparation for Hurricane Wilma's anticipated Florida landfall, a Hurricane Watch and mandatory evacuation have been issued for the Florida Keys and Florida Bay. Mandatory evacuations for Marco Island and much of Naples are in effect, as well as high surf advisories and high risk of rip currents along Florida's panhandle and Big Bend coasts. Bus services are available for Monroe Co. and other counties for residents who do not have transportation. Additional storm watches for the Florida peninsula are expected later today.
The 2005 hurricane season altered the record books again today with the formation of Tropical Storm Alpha south of Hispanola. Preliminary forecasts indicate TS Alpha will not affect the U.S. mainland.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 0500, 0800, 1100 etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300 ET
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Wilma Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida
Florida Department of Emergency Management
Images:
Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only
Extra Large Miami Radar Broadband only
Extra Large Key West Radar Broadband only
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image
Streaming Video:
WBBH-TV/WZVN-TV Ft. Myers (WMP): http://waterbc.wm.llnwd.net/waterbc_netvideo
WESH-TV/DT Orlando/Daytona Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24028.ram
WFTV-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:20361.ram
WKMG-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:23942.ram
WPBF-TV/DT West Palm Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24035.ram
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://216.242.118.140/windowsmedia/asx/wsvn_broadband.asx
WTVJ-TV/DT Miami: http://nbc6.feedroom.com/iframeset.jsp?ord=381015
WPLG-TV/DT Miami (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/8660/live/reflector:23941.ram
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://wfor.dayport.com/viewer/content/special.php?Art_ID=612&Format_ID=2&BitRate_ID=8&Contract_ID=2&Obj_ID={obj_id}
WTSP-TV/DT St. Petersburg/Tampa (WMP): mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_sep252004_1915_64623
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
Additional Resources:
Pet Friendly Florida Shelter Info
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
CrownWeather.com
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Previous Threads:
Hurricane Wilma Part II
Hurricane Wilma Live Thread
Tropical Storm Wilma
Tropical Depression #24
It's hard to get offline when you know you're seeing history in the making. When did we ever think we'd see names like Wilma and Alpha before?
Yup, and that's what worries me, more than anything else. I wouldn't be surprised if there are some waterspouts in Biscayne Bay.
With our luck, that'll be Beta. Or should I say, Bubba.
Yup, she'll start accelerating now. I think it's all set in stone, now. Just gotta wait and watch it unfold.
I predict in the vicinity of Marco Island, and definitely no farther north than Naples. Cat 2. Maybe borderline Cat 3.
It sure is. But if I don't get some sleep now, I won't be able to see history in the making when Wilma gets here. So I'm off. See you guys later, in about six hours.
Morning
Waiting to call my son and ream his hind end.
I saw the freepmail will answer later.
Be careful. That(as a cop's sister) doesn't sound good.
Landfall location sounds about right. Straight-line analysis of the 5 am forecast/advisory suggests landfall right about there about 8 am Monday, with her exiting right about Jupiter somewhere around noon Monday. She'll also be about 90-100 miles west of Key West about 1 am Monday.
Later laz.
My basic criteria is at least one major city getting whacked with at least 12 inches of snow (Boston, NYC, Philly, DC, etc). I don't particularly pay attention to the inland snows when the coast is getting plain rain.
We haven't battened down the first hatch yet...
..will go to church and then tackle the necessities!
Yeow!...long day indeed!
I seiously think it can come in at a Category 3, and definitely don't want to be unprepared.
We're in that Titusville range!
Thanks for checking in. Went out this morning to get breakfast. Roads are empty around here. One gas station open, had one vehicle at the pumps. Very, very quiet.
..that's the first thing I noticed when I woke a few minutes ago...
..still and quiet.
My husband said it was the 'calm before the storm.'
Well, if I don't jump in that shower, I will be late for church!
Later, Gators :)
Time for those last minute preparations, I guess. Bring in the potted plants and the animals, remove the hanging bird feeders from the trees, secure the pink flamingos and lawn gnomes, charge up the cell phones and lanterns, break out the flashlights, board games and Halloween candy.... Have I forgotten anything?
At least we're cooling off--Tuesday's low is 60. The kids are already begging to break out the hot cocoa! Ahhh, who says there is no fall in Florida?
Add extra chlorine to the pool...pink flamingos and lawn gnomes? LOL! I just have one alligator in the rose garden. Low profile, he stays where he is.
That's the BEST part..looking at our weather AFTER Wilma- it will be in the 70's! Whew- relief:)
Latest from the Hunters - still on track, still not strengthening -
331 URNT12 KNHC 231121 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 23/11:06:30Z B. 22 deg 20 min N 086 deg 16 min W C. 700 mb 2761 m D. NA kt E. NA deg nm F. 023 deg 068 kt G. 315 deg 093 nm H. 961 mb I. 10 C/ 3044 m J. 14 C/ 3048 m K. 14 C/ NA L. CLOSED M. C65 N. 12345/ 7 O. 0.02 / 1 nm P. AF308 2024A WILMA OB 32 MAX FL WIND 91 KT S QUAD 07:19:10 Z REMNENT INNER EYE 25% COVERAGE SSE OF FL CENTER.
Movement over the last 1:49 to the northeast (57 degrees) at 10 mph. Though the acceleration is faster than indicated by the advisories, it is within the timeline of the current discussion.
I see they have backed off the re-strengthening to Cat 3, keeping her at Cat 2. Good.
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