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Hurricane Wilma Live Thread, Part III (TS Alpha gets honorable mention too)
NHC - NOAA ^ | 22 October 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 10/22/2005 1:25:10 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Wilma slowly drifts toward the Southeast Gulf of Mexico after relentlessly pounding Cozumel and Cancun for more than 24 hours. Early reports indicate extensive wind and flood damage to Mexico's resort-studded Mayan Riviera. Mexican officials said about 20,000 tourists were at shelters and hotels on the mainland south of Cancun and an estimated 10,000-12,000 were in Cancun itself. About 50 hotels were evacuated.

In preparation for Hurricane Wilma's anticipated Florida landfall, a Hurricane Watch and mandatory evacuation have been issued for the Florida Keys and Florida Bay. Mandatory evacuations for Marco Island and much of Naples are in effect, as well as high surf advisories and high risk of rip currents along Florida's panhandle and Big Bend coasts. Bus services are available for Monroe Co. and other counties for residents who do not have transportation. Additional storm watches for the Florida peninsula are expected later today.

The 2005 hurricane season altered the record books again today with the formation of Tropical Storm Alpha south of Hispanola. Preliminary forecasts indicate TS Alpha will not affect the U.S. mainland.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 0500, 0800, 1100 etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300 ET
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Wilma Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida
Florida Department of Emergency Management

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only
Extra Large Miami Radar Broadband only
Extra Large Key West Radar Broadband only
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image

Streaming Video:

WBBH-TV/WZVN-TV Ft. Myers (WMP): http://waterbc.wm.llnwd.net/waterbc_netvideo
WESH-TV/DT Orlando/Daytona Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24028.ram
WFTV-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:20361.ram
WKMG-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:23942.ram
WPBF-TV/DT West Palm Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24035.ram
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://216.242.118.140/windowsmedia/asx/wsvn_broadband.asx
WTVJ-TV/DT Miami: http://nbc6.feedroom.com/iframeset.jsp?ord=381015
WPLG-TV/DT Miami (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/8660/live/reflector:23941.ram
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://wfor.dayport.com/viewer/content/special.php?Art_ID=612&Format_ID=2&BitRate_ID=8&Contract_ID=2&Obj_ID={obj_id}
WTSP-TV/DT St. Petersburg/Tampa (WMP): mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_sep252004_1915_64623
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm

Additional Resources:

Pet Friendly Florida Shelter Info
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
CrownWeather.com

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Wilma Part II
Hurricane Wilma Live Thread
Tropical Storm Wilma
Tropical Depression #24


TOPICS: Front Page News; Mexico; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: alpha; hurricane; tropical; wilma
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To: AGreatPer
It seems as if there are no fatalities in Cancun as most people went high and mid in the hotels.

I hope that holds true. But I wonder how many people never made it to the hotels.

181 posted on 10/22/2005 4:47:47 PM PDT by dirtboy (Drool overflowed my buffer...)
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To: NautiNurse; jeffers; laz
Current Vortex Data Message -

916 
URNT12 KNHC 222330
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 22/2302Z
B. 21 DEG 31 MIN N
   86 DEG 58 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2745 MA
D. NA
E. NA
F. 135 DEG 87 KT
G. 038 DEG 31 NM
H. 959 MB
I. 11 C/ 3057 M
J. 14 C/ 3064 M
K. 14 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C70
N. 12345/7
O. 1/1 NM
P. NOAA2 1824A WILMA OB 23
   MAX FL WIND 93 KT NE QUAD 2145Z.

Motion in the 1:09 since the last eye fix - northeast (35 degrees) at 5 mph. According to Google Earth, this puts the center of circulation at the coast and roughly 25 miles north-northwest (340 degrees) of Cancun. The 7 pm advisory position is about an hour fresher than this eye fix.

182 posted on 10/22/2005 4:47:52 PM PDT by steveegg (Tagline withheld until we know whether Miers will be a younger O'Connor or Roberts' soulmate)
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To: dirtboy; All

Per NBC Nightly News, nobody squealing about collapsed hotels, missing islands, or any kind of mass casualties (tourista or otherwise out of Cancun.

The video showed 2, maybe 3 feet of water in downtown Cancun, leading to a preliminary surge estimate close to the 7-11 feet predicted. Damage to buildings looked surprisingly light, one partial collapse of a large grass roofed building apparantly on a beach or waterfront, elsewhere largely cosmetic.

Still worried about 30 to 40 inches of rain over a widespread area and poorly constructed homes, but for now, no news is good news.


183 posted on 10/22/2005 4:48:16 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: AGreatPer
Some kind of blow frong is pissed and spitting at everyone. (I had no clue about this).

You may be referring to the Poison dart frog. Pretty little deadly critters.

184 posted on 10/22/2005 4:48:43 PM PDT by NautiNurse (So. Tampa Bay)
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To: abner

I think it means a blow frog. We have some of those frogs that "spit". Nasty buggers!


185 posted on 10/22/2005 4:49:14 PM PDT by tiredoflaundry (Tampa Bay, Home of the Stanley Cup Champions The Tampa Bay Lightning!)
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To: dirtboy

Was a bit slow in posting the current vortex data message; was busy plotting older eye fixes into Google Earth.


186 posted on 10/22/2005 4:49:22 PM PDT by steveegg (Tagline withheld until we know whether Miers will be a younger O'Connor or Roberts' soulmate)
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To: abner
My brownies have extra walnuts... Yum!

My favorite!

187 posted on 10/22/2005 4:50:37 PM PDT by NautiNurse (So. Tampa Bay)
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To: abner

abner, I have no clue


188 posted on 10/22/2005 4:51:07 PM PDT by AGreatPer (My trip has been canceled to Cancun for Thanksgiving at the Fiesta Americana Condesa.)
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To: NautiNurse

I'll call them, 'Nautinurse Hurricane Brownies'. In your honor.


189 posted on 10/22/2005 4:51:38 PM PDT by abner (Looking for a new tagline- Next outrage please!- Got it! PRIVATE PROPERTY RIGHTS LOST IN THE USA!)
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To: steveegg
Thanx. I got a bit nervous when I saw the apparent pressure drop.

Cause a pressure drop, oh pressure
Oh yeah pressure drop a drop on you
I say a pressure drop, oh pressure
Oh yeah pressure drop a drop on you

Oops, sorry about that one...

190 posted on 10/22/2005 4:52:00 PM PDT by dirtboy (Drool overflowed my buffer...)
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To: AGreatPer
abner, I have no clue

Even funnier! I'll guess it is the frog variety.

191 posted on 10/22/2005 4:52:44 PM PDT by abner (Looking for a new tagline- Next outrage please!- Got it! PRIVATE PROPERTY RIGHTS LOST IN THE USA!)
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To: abner

Thank you! Was looking for my "Home Thrown Hurricane Fruit Salad" recipe the other day. Haven't found it yet. Only have a couple of monster avocados left in the tree now, but the grapefruit, pecans and tangelo trees are loaded.


192 posted on 10/22/2005 4:55:07 PM PDT by NautiNurse (So. Tampa Bay)
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To: dirtboy
Oh, the liberals are quite fond of pointing to Cuba's public record

Yes, they are.


193 posted on 10/22/2005 4:55:42 PM PDT by bill1952 ("All that we do is done with an eye towards something else.")
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To: jeffers
Won't your generator handle the well pump? We used our after atornado wiped out our town and the shower sure felt good every day.

A_R

194 posted on 10/22/2005 4:56:09 PM PDT by arkady_renko
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To: Rte66

I don't know how much chlorine is too much, and don't know how much is already in your water.

I do know that the plastic somehow seems to absorb the taste over time, and that they recommend 8 drops per gallon for clear water, and 16 drops per gallon for cloudy water, so there's some latitude.

If you ping me with freepmail, I'll check it out with some chemists I know.


195 posted on 10/22/2005 4:56:20 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: steveegg

As before, I think she's turning.


196 posted on 10/22/2005 4:58:57 PM PDT by laz (Miami, FL (Cutler Ridge))
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To: arkady_renko

I don't have a generator yet. Been looking at some that run on propane, since my kitchen stove and heat run off that, and a 900 gallon tank that somebody else fills is way better than a bunch of 5 gallon tanks that I have to fill, but I only lose power for a day or two max, usually 2 to 4 hours, once or twice a year.

I want both, a generator for short term outages, and a handpump for longer outages. A wood stove too.


197 posted on 10/22/2005 5:00:50 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: tiredoflaundry
Nasty buggers!

For the most part, frogs are a nice bunch.

... and they don't cause warts or make farting noises when stepped upon, so let's put that to rest...

198 posted on 10/22/2005 5:01:43 PM PDT by Michael Goldsberry (an enemy of islam -- Joe Boucher; Leapfrog; Dr.Zoidberg; Lazamataz; ...)
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To: NautiNurse

A bit of good news out of Cozumel at 6PM, posted on a Cancun board--the water in the streets has gone down 5" and is continuing to recede. Police and military are out and about telling people to stay in until all has passed and water has gone down more. They've had 30" of rain.


199 posted on 10/22/2005 5:01:44 PM PDT by Rte66
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To: laz
I don't think 2 straight northeast moves totaling almost 10 miles is just a wobble. You called it.

We may or may not get one last pass from the NOAA plane before it heads back to Florida. The next plane (Air Force) isn't due for a takeoff until 9:30 Central, arriving on the scene about midnight.

200 posted on 10/22/2005 5:03:53 PM PDT by steveegg (Tagline withheld until we know whether Miers will be a younger O'Connor or Roberts' soulmate)
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