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(San Diego) New Poll: Sanders Expands Lead Over Frye
Datamar Inc. ^ | 21 Oct 2005 | Datamar

Posted on 10/21/2005 2:52:56 PM PDT by newzjunkey

Sanders is ahead 51 to 40 among likely voters. His largest lead yet. (bolding mine)

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Sanders’ lead among Republicans is 82% to 11% for Frye. Sanders picked up 2 points with Republicans since our last survey. Frye stayed the same. Sanders leads with males 52% and with females 49%, while Frye garners support from 40% of males and 41% of females. This is a large jump among females, 5 points, for Sanders from the last survey. “Sanders has the momentum right now. Frye’s base of voters is solid, but the undecided appear to be breaking Sanders' way...

Among labor union households Frye has a narrow lead, 47% to 44%. Among non-labor union households Sanders has a larger lead, 53% to 38%...

Frye recently announced her proposal to raise the sales tax by a half-cent. When asked about this proposal less than 1/3 (32%) favored it, with 52% opposing. Among Democrats, 46% support the tax increase...

Sanders has proposed laying off up to 10% of general fund supported employees. This proposal is met with mixed reaction with 44% overall in favor, 30% opposed...

We then asked if people would support a tax increase to help the city out of its financial problems. Only 32% said they would support a tax increase, while 53% would oppose. Democrats support a tax increase 50% to 33% opposed. Republicans oppose a tax increase by large margins, with 78% opposed to 12% in favor...

The San Diego City Council is not looked upon favorably by the electorate. Only 9% approve of the job the council is doing, while 77% disapprove. Democrats have a slightly better view of the Council with 14% approving, 67% disapproving. 87% of Republicans disapprove of the job the City Council is doing while only 4% approve


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: enronbythesea; frye; mayoralrace; sanders; sandiego; sandiegomayor; surferchick
Looks like good news. Further looking into the data, people spent a lot of time looking at the election and following it closely. I think it's all going to be about turnout.

I love that 4% of Republicans approve of the City Council's job performance. That's way too high. ;)

The full survey results and analysis is at this link on Datamar's site (PDF)

1 posted on 10/21/2005 2:52:59 PM PDT by newzjunkey
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To: CyberAnt; Jimbaugh; maddogsmamma; SoCalPol
(((New Poll: San Diego Mayoral Race Update)))

Please ping your lists.

2 posted on 10/21/2005 2:55:36 PM PDT by newzjunkey (CA: Stop union theft for political agendas with YES on Prop 75! Prolife? YES on Prop 73!)
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To: newzjunkey

Frye-Sanders? Sounds like KFC used to be.


3 posted on 10/21/2005 3:01:21 PM PDT by Lunkhead_01
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To: newzjunkey; All

This is great news!

Here's some good info if people are trying to decide how to vote:

NEWS RELEASE

Institute Evaluation Concludes Jerry Sanders’ Financial Recovery Plan is Stronger & More Credible Plan Provides Best Chance of Restoring San Diego’s Financial Health

For Immediate Release - CONTACT: Erica Mendelson
Date: October 21, 2005
Office: 858-503-6787 - cell: 619-306-1798
Email: mendelson@performanceweb.org

SAN DIEGO - The Performance Institute today released an analysis of the financial recovery proposals and positions of San Diego City Mayoral candidates Jerry Sanders and Donna Frye. “While both candidates’ plans have certain strengths and weaknesses, Jerry Sanders’ Financial Recovery Plan is far superior and offers San Diego the best chance to put its fiscal house back in order,” commented Institute President Carl DeMaio.

In explaining why the Institute saw Frye’s plan as inferior, DeMaio explained: “Donna Frye’s plan boils down to more taxes and more spending at City Hall. Frye’s decision to make tax increases the centerpiece of her plan virtually guarantees that real reform will be taken off the table at City Hall. And her plan reflects this reality. Frye’s plan contains very little by way of managerial reforms, sidesteps the issue of which pension benefits should be reformed, and opens the city to increased legal risk.”

Among the highlights of the Sanders plan: a pledge to not increase taxes, a commitment to clean house at City Hall by requiring all senior managers to reapply for their positions, and the inclusion of a comprehensive set of internal management reforms to balance the budget and improve citizen services.

The Institute raised a note of caution on both plans: neither plan “adds up” unless the 1996 and 2002 pension benefits are challenged and invalidated in court. “While it is possible the benefits may be revoked, there is no guarantee of that and both candidates should have contingency plans for how they would fix the pension deficit if the benefits are deemed legal.” DeMaio also outlined three questions the media and public should ask about the Frye and Sanders plans:
1. What specific level of benefits would you offer if the 1996 and 2002 deals are revoked?

2. How will you come up with the money to fund the pension
system if the 1996 and 2002 are not invalidated?

3. What does your plan do with the average 5% annual revenue increases expected each year into the General
Fund: more labor spending, more capital spending or divert to the pension system?

While the Institute’s analysis identified several differences between the Frye and Sanders plans, several points of agreement were seen as well. DeMaio praised Frye and Sanders for both including key “system reforms” in their plans, putting future pension benefits to public vote, requiring a quarterly reconciliation of the city’s budget to ensure balance, requiring performance audits of city departments, creating a “Rainy Day Budget Reserve,” and conducting an independent audit of the city’s Enterprise and Special Funds.

Based on the contents of both plans, DeMaio said he remained optimistic about chances that the city will emerge from the financial crisis. “We are pleased that both Donna Frye and Jerry Sanders are quite vocal about the need for change at City Hall—and have clearly communicated their understanding of the severity of the city’s financial, legal, and performance problems. Neither candidate suffers from the shocking state of denial that gripped our former Mayor and continues to blind our current City Council.”

***Click here to read the Institute's full analysis of each candidate*** [You'll have to go to their website in order to read the full analysis of each candidate - at http://www.sandiegobudget.org]

Based here in San Diego, the Institute is a national government reform think tank that promotes the principles of performance, transparency, competition and accountability in government. Additional information on the San Diego Citizens' Budget Project can be found at http://www.sandiegobudget.org.


4 posted on 10/21/2005 3:06:10 PM PDT by CyberAnt (I BELIEVE CONGRESSMAN WELDON!)
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To: Lunkhead_01
Believe it not, Dem Donna Frye had a guy in a chicken suit at a press conference the other day claiming Sanders is too "chicken" to show how he'll avoid raising taxes.


5 posted on 10/21/2005 3:06:29 PM PDT by newzjunkey (CA: Stop union theft for political agendas with YES on Prop 75! Prolife? YES on Prop 73!)
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To: newzjunkey

Good News!

But, what about the most important question of them all...

Will either of them keep the Chargers in town?


6 posted on 10/21/2005 3:10:45 PM PDT by lews
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To: lews
Frankly, if it means San Diegans having to spend one penny of tax dollars on the Chargers, I hope L.A. enjoys their new NFL franchise.

No more stadium expansions. No more ticket guarantees. Given our precarious fiscal situation, the Chargers should suck it up for awhile or find a new city.

7 posted on 10/21/2005 3:13:29 PM PDT by newzjunkey (CA: Stop union theft for political agendas with YES on Prop 75! Prolife? YES on Prop 73!)
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To: CyberAnt
Thanks for that article.

I'm more concerned about how the Props are doing than our local race which looks to have shaped up.

8 posted on 10/21/2005 3:15:02 PM PDT by newzjunkey (CA: Stop union theft for political agendas with YES on Prop 75! Prolife? YES on Prop 73!)
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To: newzjunkey

Yeah, me too. I haven't seen anything on who the props are doing - but Tom has been all over KOGO with commercials supporting the Gov reform legislation.


9 posted on 10/21/2005 3:18:13 PM PDT by CyberAnt (I BELIEVE CONGRESSMAN WELDON!)
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To: newzjunkey

Just go to the Performance Institute website and sign up for their press releases.


10 posted on 10/21/2005 3:21:21 PM PDT by CyberAnt (I BELIEVE CONGRESSMAN WELDON!)
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To: newzjunkey

From the headline, I thought this was Vermont!


11 posted on 10/21/2005 3:22:47 PM PDT by Buck W. (Yesterday's Intelligentsia are today's Irrelevantsia.)
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To: newzjunkey

The (good) ads Sanders is now running blasting Frye for her tax raising desires, etc., are apparently helping.


12 posted on 10/21/2005 3:31:33 PM PDT by Steven W.
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To: newzjunkey
Whatever you think of Frye, Sanders is just more of the same - - more Dick Murphy, more city-sponsored corporate welfare, more bad streets, and more money flushed into the bay.

San Diego needs a clean sweep, not just another insider who owes his salary to the powers that be in San Diego. It's a big city with a small-town corrupt political scene.

13 posted on 10/21/2005 4:36:33 PM PDT by Vladiator
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To: Vladiator

It's a big city with a small-town corrupt political scene.

And a small mind will not get it.
As a 58 yr native Sanders needs to win
He will put a freeze on city wages while leather face will
raise taxes.
There is a choice of two people. If she wins and things
go to hell, which they will
the folks who didn't vote lost their right to complain.


14 posted on 10/21/2005 5:24:59 PM PDT by SoCalPol (I BELIEVE CONGRESSMAN WELDON!)
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To: Vladiator
San Diego needs a clean sweep, not just another insider who owes his salary to the powers that be in San Diego. It's a big city with a small-town corrupt political scene.

I voted already and did not cast a vote for Sanders or Frye for that reason.

15 posted on 10/21/2005 6:13:52 PM PDT by newzjunkey (CA: Stop union theft for political agendas with YES on Prop 75! Prolife? YES on Prop 73!)
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To: SoCalPol
Things already have gone to hell. You see in the poll above Frye will not get the votes to raise taxes. She can propose a tax increase but cannot raise taxes without consent of the screwed... err... governed.
16 posted on 10/21/2005 6:19:53 PM PDT by newzjunkey (CA: Stop union theft for political agendas with YES on Prop 75! Prolife? YES on Prop 73!)
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To: newzjunkey
It's sad to think that America's Most Beautiful City could end up with America's Most Skanky Mayor.


17 posted on 10/21/2005 6:24:00 PM PDT by socal_parrot
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To: newzjunkey

Most of the problems are caused by the unions.
If all thought what the hell and sat home, we
would get the far left Frye and if you think
the city atty is a wack-o he will finish off
the city.
When I worked with the county attys. I delt with
him and he is a typical short male mind set.
Notice I didn't say man. He never got that far.

We can't all go through life with an all or nothing mind set. Just like some people hate Bush due to
unresolved psychological problems that manfast such as
Displacement.


18 posted on 10/21/2005 6:53:03 PM PDT by SoCalPol (I BELIEVE CONGRESSMAN WELDON!)
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To: lews

LA doesn’t support football, the Rams and Raiders gave it a go for crying out loud and both went back to where they belonged


19 posted on 09/13/2007 1:57:34 AM PDT by GeronL (Puh-leeze join my fantasy football league, Yahoo, ID# 748109, password: better)
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