Bill Kristol is always wrong. I disticntly remember him giving all the reasons why Kerry beat Bush on election day before the polls closed. He bought the phoney exit polls hook line and sinker because he's an idiot and a sunshine patriot. When the going gets tough, Kristol starts backstabbing.
I think Kristol was hoping for a Kerry win. He did not lok too happy about it when it sunk in that Bush won, by a decent margin.