Wow, interesting points! You've followed Kristol's recent career more closely than I can bear to follow ANYONE in punditry or media.... :^) What you say does all sound quite plausible to me, but I sure don't claim to know what Kristol knew and when he knew it.... I do think his current gloom and doom on the WH seems mentally unbalanced and premature, unless he really does know what's going on inside the SP and GJ, and I don't see how anyone in the media knows that - Fitzgerald seems to have kept the lid on very tight and the only discussions seem to come from anonymous attorneys associated with various witnesses who want to spin matters their way.
I don't think, in general, the extent of the GJ's witness list, numbers of junior WH staffers testifying, or the thoroughness of Fitzgerald's questioning of witnesses indicates anything about whether indictments will be issued against anyone in the WH -- from all we really KNOW so far, Fitzgerald is just doing what any SP would have to do to perform a thorough investigation (although I sure would like to know whether he has had sleazeball people like Joe Wilson, Valerie Plame, and David Corn before the GJ!!!). I hope that the GJ closes up shop with no indictments for the WH, and that the SP then makes a referral to the Dept. of Justice to investigate and indict the cabal of current and ex-CIA people around Pflame/Wilson who concocted this whole farcical scandal in the first place!!