Granted, that map includes some models that never do a good job with anything, and some of the outliers are rather important. The overall track idea remains fairly consistent, likely why there is little track change at 5pm. Tonight's runs should clear the matter up a bit.
Thank you! My confusion at present lies in what the trough is doing..isn't that what we need to be watching to learn when it will make it's northeast turn? It seems the earliest we might know is tomorrow morning??
With that, I'll be gone for the next few hours. First, I have to find some dinner, then I'm filling in at cribbage (where I hope to be as good as I was in the NFL this past weekend :-)
I should be back in time for the 11 pm updates.
The chance that it will actually get picked up to the point that it thrashes NE seems pretty slim...it almost never, ever happens.
But, this year seems to be a year for repeating history and making it with hurricanes.