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To: ArmyBratsMom

Storms can "make their own weather" but that's more likely when the steering currents are weak. I don't think that's the case here, given the radical right turn and acceleration that the models are predicting. I try to avoid forecasts. I like extrapolations, much safer.

Coupla things...

One, if my math is correct, this beast has gone from tropical styorm to Cat-5 record holder in less than 24 hours, yes?

Two, looking at the projected path, it appears that Wilma included, every front inch of the Gulf Coast has gotten hit or will get hit this year with the exception of from Houston SW to the US/Mexico border. I guess we know where Alpha can be expected to make landfall?


554 posted on 10/19/2005 4:26:16 AM PDT by jeffers
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To: jeffers
Thanks for the insight, jeffers. I highly respect your opinion on these hurricane threads.

looking at the projected path, it appears that Wilma included, every front inch of the Gulf Coast has gotten hit or will get hit this year with the exception of from Houston SW to the US/Mexico border. I guess we know where Alpha can be expected to make landfall?

You are reading my mind here. "Hurricane Alpha" just sounds ominous ... alpha male ... need I say more. A major hurricane going in near Houston in the next month would be a true disaster, as I'm sure very few people would even consider evacuating. Terrible scenario if that were the case.

571 posted on 10/19/2005 4:59:00 AM PDT by ArmyBratsMom
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To: jeffers
looking at the projected path, it appears that Wilma included, every front inch of the Gulf Coast has gotten hit or will get hit this year with the exception of from Houston SW to the US/Mexico border. I guess we know where Alpha can be expected to make landfall?

Anything is possible, but a hurricane making landfall on the Texas coast after mid-October is exceedingly rare. There are historical accounts of only two hurricanes on the Texas coast after October 17th. A hurricane struck Galveston both in November, 1527 and November, 1839 but that is all we know about this late in the season. This is one characteristic of hurricane climatology and Texas that I hope remains unchallenged! I pray that the hurricane season has ended for Texas this year.

630 posted on 10/19/2005 6:07:23 AM PDT by Unmarked Package
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