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To: jeffers

Other thing to keep in mind is people need to get Charley out of their heads; even if the track ends up the same this is likely to be a very different storm.

Instead of a tiny Cat 2 that suddenly strengthens to Cat 4 before landfall this is likely going to be a very wide Cat 4 that gradually weakens to Cat 3 or Cat 2 before landfall.

Instead of a narrow swath of extreme wind damage, you're likely to see a very broad area of severe storm surge damage; Southwest Florida is exceedingly vulnerable to storm surge; because of the unique nature of Charley it caused minimal storm surge.

If you look at the surge maps for SW Florida counties it's sobering; Cat 3+ surge can extend many miles inland.


139 posted on 10/18/2005 2:13:53 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: Strategerist

I haven't seen any surge maps for SW Florida yet. The hi-res DEMs (3 meter per pixel) I found are only available in 1:24,000 scale and run 5 to 8 megs apiece. It takes several of them just to cover one medium sized city.

It's a little to early to commit to the bandwidth necessary to obtain those, since we don't know where Wilma's headed yet, and once you've become accustomed to working with them, even 10 meter per pixel data just doesn't cut it anymore.

:-)

Between now and then I'll probably find time to load up the GTOPO 1km per pixel dataset and see what's what, but right now work on the last part of the levee analysis is taking up most of my time.


155 posted on 10/18/2005 3:09:54 PM PDT by jeffers
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