[CindyDawg]

One of the things I've learned this summer is not to put a lot of emphasis on models. They are interesting and fun but change a lot . Usually the ones that make it into the western GOM just clip the peninsula. That's what I meant by too low according to the tracking.

[Strategerist]

In general the models have been very accurate for storms that are fully developed this year, and in recent years; models are far less accurate for tropical waves and new tropical depressions.

One big problem is many of the popular "model" sites show many old, worthless models and omit the newer more accurate models.