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To: inquest

Dems are most likely to vote yes on 79 and no on 78, but may vote yes on both, because they want the subsidy, so that if 79 won't pass, they will at least have 78.

So Republicans will be able to be a deciding vote, in giving 78 more votes.

I have seen some early polls, which said 79 had a lot of support.

BUT, as I was doing further research, I found an article, which said that 79 may be defeated. If I knew for sure, that 79 WILL be defeated, I would agree, that we should vote no on both. But I think the reason 79 MAY be defeated is exactly that people may vote for 78 instead.

It's a very tricky situation. 79 is so bad, that we can't afford to have it pass.

Here is the article I am talking about:

Voters unhappy with governor, his initiatives -- poll
55% disapprove of job he is doing, none of his measures in survey top 43% approval

http://sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2005/09/29/BAGK2EVFKK1.DTL


36 posted on 10/01/2005 2:38:49 PM PDT by FairOpinion
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To: FairOpinion
Hmmmm... the link you provided to inquest seems to negate your contention that "Prop 79 will pass."

http://sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2005/09/29/BAGK2EVFKK1.DTL

Prop. 79 would require drug companies to provide a discount or be shut out of the state Medi-Cal program. Just 34 percent of likely voters support this measure, with 40 percent opposed and 26 percent undecided.

38 posted on 10/01/2005 2:55:51 PM PDT by calcowgirl
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To: FairOpinion
From the article:

Prop. 79 would require drug companies to provide a discount or be shut out of the state Medi-Cal program. Just 34 percent of likely voters support this measure, with 40 percent opposed and 26 percent undecided.

So even if 60% of the undecideds voted in favor of the initiative (pretty unlikely given that it only has the support 45% of the 74% who are decided), it still wouldn't pass. You realize that this strategy you're advocating carries a very high risk of needlessly enacting Prop. 78 against the will of the majority of voters?

40 posted on 10/01/2005 3:14:59 PM PDT by inquest (FTAA delenda est)
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