[Ingtar]

11 AM called for Pensacola. 5 PM the models all pointed to N.O. but the NHC played it safe and did not move the forecast track further than MS. Then at 11 PM (10 CDT), they moved it to N.O. proper. It was all in the discussions that they put out.

[Paradox]

See my post #705. The NHC clearly had NO close to the crosshairs, at that point (5pm friday) there should have been little doubt.

[FreedomCalls]

Of course the later prediction changed. You missed my point. On Friday, at noon, the prediction was for the panhandle, not New Orleans. So how can you fault Brown for not mobilizing all FEMA's resources toward New Orleans when AT THAT TIME (not later in the afternoon or evening), but AT THAT TIME, the forecast track only barely included NO.

Of course the forecast changed later on. But Brown had no way of knowing that AT NOON ON FRIDAY. When the senators berate him for not forcing an evacuation on New Orleans on Thursday or even ON FRIDAY AT NOON, they are acting as if Brown was supposed to be psychic.