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Part VI: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1490045/posts



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Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part V
NHC - NOAA ^ | 22 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/22/2005 5:44:09 PM PDT by NautiNurse

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To: anton

Ooops, Sorry


HURRICANE RITA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT THU SEP 22 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT SUN SEP 25 2005

LOCATION A B C D E
GALVESTON TX 8 17 1 X 26
FREEPORT TX 7 16 1 X 24
PORT O CONNOR TX 4 11 2 1 18
PANAMA CITY FL X X X 2 2
CORPUSCHRISTI TX 1 5 1 2 9
PENSACOLA FL X X 1 3 4
BROWNSVILLE TX X X X 2 2
MOBILE AL X 1 2 4 7
GULFPORT MS X 3 3 3 9
BURAS LA 5 6 1 2 14
NEW ORLEANS LA 3 8 2 2 15
NEW IBERIA LA 6 13 1 1 21
PORT ARTHUR TX 4 20 1 1 26
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1PM FRI TO 1AM SAT
C FROM 1AM SAT TO 1PM SAT
D FROM 1PM SAT TO 1PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


541 posted on 09/22/2005 7:32:50 PM PDT by anton
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To: Hilltop
Gotta know, Hilltop. What are fenders?

I've eaten most everything, most of the time because no one bothered to tell me what it was.

542 posted on 09/22/2005 7:33:00 PM PDT by BIGLOOK (I once opposed keelhauling but recently have come to my senses.)
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To: Rte66

I have no idea how close we are in age, so I won't ask if you went to Bellaire High.


543 posted on 09/22/2005 7:33:18 PM PDT by Flyer (Houston FReepers ~ http://houstonliberty.com/forums/ ~ (SW Houston)
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To: NautiNurse

I don't dance :-)


544 posted on 09/22/2005 7:33:19 PM PDT by steveegg ($3.00 a gallon is the price you pay for ANWR! Start drilling or stop whining! - HT Falcon4.0)
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To: maeng

Far beit for the MSM to play up the contrast in behavior between the TX evacuees and NOLAs. It seems so obvious to me.


545 posted on 09/22/2005 7:33:20 PM PDT by Vintage1
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To: Zacs Mom
I swear being a grammy has been one of the most rewarding experiences of my life!!

Ain't it the truth!

My mother tried to tell me what it would be like for me when I became a grandma, but I thought she didn't know what she was talking about. (She knew...she knew.)

546 posted on 09/22/2005 7:33:35 PM PDT by the Deejay (THE LADY DEEJAY)
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To: CedarDave

That second webcam has heavy two-way traffic. I hope that's not a whole lot of folks giving up on the evac and going home.


547 posted on 09/22/2005 7:33:59 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: Alia

Your excerpts were explicit. :)

I've been through hurricanes. They are the most exciting and the most frightening force to be a part of. And yes, I mean be a part of. You become part of the storm.


548 posted on 09/22/2005 7:34:01 PM PDT by Calpernia (Breederville.com)
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To: sinkspur

You have that right. I made great time getting to my sister's house. I went on the frontage road most of the way. I watched the gridlock on the interstate while I zipped on by.


549 posted on 09/22/2005 7:34:19 PM PDT by CajunConservative (Lake Charles, LA (evacuated to my sister's))
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To: roses of sharon
"I wish I could think of a word for this kind of man, he just makes me sick."

I think he and Condit were DC buddies.

550 posted on 09/22/2005 7:34:19 PM PDT by blam
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To: Calpernia

bump


551 posted on 09/22/2005 7:34:30 PM PDT by Tall_Texan (Austin TX - and staying put.)
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To: cgk; randita

Until recently, Ford was planning the Extreme, the Expulsion and the Exxonvaldez. Now they are looking real hard at the Ka.


552 posted on 09/22/2005 7:34:31 PM PDT by Sender (Team Infidel USA)
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To: james_f_hall
That is correct, most mandatory evacs have been lifted. A voluntary is still in effect. We do not have near the traffic down here as the Houston area, but the fuel issue is the same, I.E. there ain't none!
553 posted on 09/22/2005 7:34:39 PM PDT by SouthTexas (Refugio County)
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To: steveegg
(damn, but that's a long day).

Transitioning from days to nights (plus taking the baby to nursery school).

554 posted on 09/22/2005 7:34:45 PM PDT by mhking (The world needs a wake up call gentlemen...we're gonna phone it in.)
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To: the Deejay

Ya, especially when all 10 g/kids want to stay the night, the same night...


555 posted on 09/22/2005 7:34:48 PM PDT by queenkathy (Dear God, I have a problem; it's me.)
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To: nascaryankee

My parents left Victoria at about 10:00 this morning, they just called from my uncle's house in Kilgore after 9:00. It's usually a 6 to 7 hour drive, took them about 11 this time. No big panic though, didn't have too much trouble getting gas. Of course, my father is smart enough to avoid the big towns and stick to the rural highways.


556 posted on 09/22/2005 7:34:49 PM PDT by cspackler (There are 10 kinds of people in this world, those who understand binary and those who don't.)
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To: SouthTexas

I see that. It's got her back over water too. I fear of one going down the coast. That Nogap is a fickle little sucker though, isn't it? He's been all over the map. mexico-La-Mexico-La.....


557 posted on 09/22/2005 7:34:53 PM PDT by CindyDawg (Brownsville Texas)
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To: toomanygrasshoppers
My folks are in Daingerfield (s. of Mt. Pleasant). Right now they can't even use their boat dock because the lake is down so far.

But all that's gonna change here real soon!

558 posted on 09/22/2005 7:35:19 PM PDT by uglybiker (I am not trying to take over the world. I did that last week.)
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To: CedarDave

The main highway is moving quite nicely in those pictures. I don't get why the feeder on the one side is so congested. Is I-45 contraflowed there?


559 posted on 09/22/2005 7:35:40 PM PDT by sinkspur (Just west of DFW Airport. We can take in four or five and two dogs.)
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To: Vintage1

I am just waiting for someone in the media to start harping that Texas is in "ready mode" more than Louisiana because of course that is Bush's home state!! May have already happened and I missed it.


560 posted on 09/22/2005 7:35:45 PM PDT by maeng
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