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To: jeffers

I'm more concerned about BR and Lafayette areas.


739 posted on 09/22/2005 8:04:05 AM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: NautiNurse

It's still hooking right, another 15 to 20 miles since the 0800 updated forecast track. Right now linear interpolation puts landfall centered between Houston and Port Arthur, call it Stowell. The error between linear and Bezier (curved) interpolation isn't very great because the 1000 forecast track's +48 hour point is only 30 miles inland.

More concerned with speed now than hook though. If it stalls, landfall becomes anyone's guess. It obviously wants to go north, and may have enough heft to be pushing the HP ridge, or just squeezing it. 1/2mv^2 versus 1/2mv^2 (plus one or two other factors).

Like Katrina on Saturday before landfall, we've crossed a rubicon....somebody's going to get smacked. Just too much energy there to go away.


816 posted on 09/22/2005 8:29:42 AM PDT by jeffers
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