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To: Strategerist
Right now basically all the useful models have landfalls from Galveston to the LA/TX border.

If it hit halfway between Galveston and Beaumont, that would be the best of a bad situation. If it hits Galveston it definitely shoves the bay west into Houston and does untold damage to the petrochemical plants.

With the new forecast this morning, I'm no longer the bullseye and would only get the western side of the storm, so someone else's misery would be good news for me, in relative terms.

I'm not ready to celebrate yet, but last night it looked like my house would be destroyed. Today it looks survivable.

At a local level, I can't find a gas station with gas. The supermarket was empty this morning except for frozen food. They had a little bottled water left when I was there, but they were rationing it two to a customer, and unless more is on the way, it's long gone by now.

I went to the hardware store to see if I could get a tank of propane. The answer was no, of course, but people were grabbing gasoline jugs like crazy. I wanted to ask them where they expected to fill them, but I bit my tongue.

The town is in gridlock. People are running out of gas on the freeways. Many have been there for over 12 hours and have moved just a few miles. The operation to open both lanes of freeways leaving town is underway, but not operational yet.

That will help enormously, but it also means no more food, gasoline or other supplies will be coming to the residents who have decided to stay.

The decision to go or stay has passed for most people, and if you don't have supplies to last until help comes, whenever that might be, you're in trouble.

733 posted on 09/22/2005 8:01:53 AM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: Nita Nupress

I hope you're fully prepared. It's shifting your way. I hope it doesn't get there.


738 posted on 09/22/2005 8:04:04 AM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: Dog Gone

Probably using gas jugs for water storage.


744 posted on 09/22/2005 8:04:39 AM PDT by WinMod70
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To: Dog Gone
"The decision to go or stay has passed for most people, and if you don't have supplies to last until help comes, whenever that might be, you're in trouble."

Yup. The power goes out, phone service goes and you suddenly feel very isolated and remember all the things you should have done. I've managed to plug all the gaps in my pre-post hurricane plans.

I was just down at the local quick-mart and the workmen there said they had just left the west end of Dauphin Island because water was beginning to come over...we've had a 5-20 mph breeze from the east for the 2nd day now. The west end of Dauphin Island lost about 200 houses during Katrina and it's not to uncommon for water to wash over that section during normal heavy storms.

792 posted on 09/22/2005 8:21:26 AM PDT by blam (Mobile, Alabama)
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To: Dog Gone

People here in NC are buying gas cans like they are going out of style in anticipation of a gas crunch.


804 posted on 09/22/2005 8:25:11 AM PDT by Howlin
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