They're actually a bit behind the curve, it seems.
The best models are now showing landfall a hair east of Galveston Bay, to the North of Galveston.
yeah, I think you are correct. I'm seeing other models that do indeed show the track slightly east of Galveston.
Still way too soon to be sure, however.
On a side note:
The ABC affiliate said the Houston Intercontinental is experiencing some flight delays.
One of the problems being that there have been many TSA employees calling in sick.