Yes, but nearly to the extent it looked like last night. When I went to bed last night I was resigned to total devastation of the house. Now it looks like I'm on the clean side of the storm with winds around 70 mph, maybe even less. I'll have damage, but it shouldn't be major unless one of those freak twisters hits me.
Now the bullseye is a couple of small farming towns a little bit inland, but it's going hit Beaumont and Lake Charles a lot harder than they were expecting all week.
Having said that, nobody knows for sure. The current probability for a direct strike on Houston is still 24%.
| Location | Now - 1pm Fri | 1pm Fri - 1am Sat | 1am Sat - 1pm Sat | 1pm Sat - 1pm Sun | Now - 1pm Sun |
| 27.8n 92.4w | 40% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 40% |
| 29.2n 93.8w | 14% | 14% | < 1% | 1% | 29% |
| 30.5n 94.5w | 1% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 24% |
| Brownsville Tx | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 2% |
| Buras La | 5% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 14% |
| Corpuschristi Tx | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 9% |
| Freeport Tx | 7% | 16% | 1% | < 1% | 24% |
| Galveston Tx | 8% | 17% | 1% | < 1% | 26% |
| GULF 27n 96w | 4% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
| GULF 28n 89w | 18% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 19% |
| GULF 28n 91w | 39% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 39% |
| GULF 28n 93w | 33% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 34% |
| GULF 28n 95w | 15% | 7% | 1% | < 1% | 23% |
| GULF 29n 87w | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | 2% | 3% |
| Gulfport Ms | < 1% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 9% |
| Mobile Al | < 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% |
| New Iberia La | 6% | 13% | 1% | 1% | 21% |
| New Orleans La | 3% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 15% |
| Panama City Fl | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 2% |
| Pensacola Fl | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% |
| Port Arthur Tx | 4% | 20% | 1% | 1% | 26% |
| Port O Connor Tx | 4% | 11% | 2% | 1% | 18% |
Stay safe friend. If you can't get out get up high enough to avoid the flooding.