[steve86]

This is from S2K. I know only the slightest bit about DVORAK presentations, maybe you can elaborate....

Posted: Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:04 pm
DVORAK is back to Cat 5...The pressure really doesn't need to drop, the winds just need to respond.

[queenkathy]

Pardon me that I'm not able to go through the latest on the thread. Can someone tell me exactly what is happening with Rita? Earlier on Fox they interviewed a woman who turned to go back home because her husband/brother whatever, told her it had taken a turn. What's the general assumptions of where/when/what.

[WxMan2000]

The Dvorak technique was developed in the 1970s as a method for estimating hurricane intensity based soley on satellite imagery. Using data from past stroms, the satellite image of the current storm is matched to past storms of known intensity. This is how they estimate the intensity of storms far out in the ocean when there is no recon.

That being said, I would agree it looks like a 5 and the pressure supports a 5. Once we're back to one eyewall, I expect the pressure gradient to tighten and the wind speeds to increase again.