[dirtboy]

See my post #651. I saw Dvorak estimates of 140 knots on the latest discussion (in other words, a Cat 5), which confirmed Janet's earlier post.

I was on the phone immediately to them for the third time today, spoke to my Teutonic-skulled father and said, Cat 5, GET OUT! The error margin is just too low - they were off by 15 miles with Katrina's eventual landfall this far out, and for them that's the difference between Cat 2 and the west eyewall at high Cat 3. And if it's off 50 miles, it goes right over them.

He's packing now. They'll make a final decision tomorrow, but at least they are getting ready now.

[dogbyte12]

Make your dad go. There is just no reason to risk a cat 5 direct hit. No reason at all.

I am feeling very mixed right now. I am now officially out of the cone, so I am staying put, and feeling lucky, but I fear for coastal Texas. This one could be Katrina++. No sense in anybody risking their lives on the chance that it dials down right before landfall.

[NotJustAnotherPrettyFace]

As if your Teutonic-skulled father (love that - gonna remember that one...) wouldn't get out for a Category 3 storm - such as the ones that criss-crossed FLA last year?! ;-)

[Knitting A Conundrum]

It's a good thing, cause the latest models seem to show a good chance of the storm coming in somewhere close to Port O'Connor...much better for your folks to be out of the area...