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To: janetjanet998

I gotta think that the best thing at this point may be for the storm to stay annular (if indeed it's on it's way there. If she goes through another ERC, she'll most likely be annular after that. Also, when the eye starts to re-define it would be just about where the pool of very warm water rests. This is also not to mention that when ERC's do occur the swath of damaging winds "flattens out" over a much larger area. We may be into entirely new territory with this storm where we don't know the rules.


1,018 posted on 09/21/2005 10:03:13 AM PDT by numberonepal (Don't Even Think About Treading On Me)
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To: numberonepal
We may be into entirely new territory with this storm where we don't know the rules.

That may well be the understatement of the hurricane season.:o)

1,027 posted on 09/21/2005 10:06:19 AM PDT by daybreakcoming (May God bless those who enter the valley of the shadow of death so that we may see the light of day.)
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To: numberonepal

175 kt at flight level...means the storm is entered Cat 5 range, although the offical announcement hasn't come out yet...would mean surface winds at the 155-157 mph level....


1,030 posted on 09/21/2005 10:07:49 AM PDT by Knitting A Conundrum (Act Justly, Love Mercy, and Walk Humbly With God Micah 6:8)
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To: numberonepal
yes its possible she could weaken with an ERC, then the wind field will expand(it is huge already) but then the max winds will increase again as the cycle completes...impossible to predict..
lets juts hopes it hit the rather unpopulated area realativly speaking 80-100 miles south of houston to minimize damage(which is looking more likley
1,032 posted on 09/21/2005 10:08:08 AM PDT by janetjanet998
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