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Update: Category 5 Hurricane Rita - Live Thread, Part II
NHC - NOAA ^ | 21 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/21/2005 1:36:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse

click here to read article


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To: Sprite518
I've been pulling Vortex Data Messages from the NHC's site (only the latest is there - archives are at the Texas A&M site linked from here with instructions by WxMan2000.
1,941 posted on 09/21/2005 1:52:37 PM PDT by steveegg ($3.00 a gallon is the price you pay for ANWR! Start drilling or stop whining! - HT Falcon4.0)
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To: spycatcher

Phenomenal.


1,942 posted on 09/21/2005 1:53:05 PM PDT by SE Mom (God Bless those who serve..)
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To: carinafox5

where are you going to go? why is this first floor apartment or a nearby friends house any better then yours? I am not trying to be argumentative here, but these are the questions you need to ask yourself.


1,943 posted on 09/21/2005 1:53:09 PM PDT by oceanview
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To: Knitting A Conundrum

Nope.

The advisory is out. Pressure at 914 mb.

The other pressures mentioned by various posters were either mistaken or bogus.


1,944 posted on 09/21/2005 1:53:18 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: Txsleuth

Not the evacs... as evidenced after W's speech. They didn't get infected with MSM.


1,945 posted on 09/21/2005 1:53:21 PM PDT by AliVeritas (Ignorance is a condition. Stupidity is a strategy.)
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To: Miss Marple
The premise is that the aliens are here and they control hurricanes, and that is why we have had so many.

And as we all know, Cheney is in collusion with these aliens.

1,946 posted on 09/21/2005 1:53:24 PM PDT by laz (They can bus 'em to the polls, but they can't bus 'em out of the path of a Cat 5 hurricane.)
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To: steveegg

one of the forecasters who I think has a good handle on this noted this about the last model runs:

18z TPC models guidance and new euro in strong agreement.... and very consistent with 12z guidance and 6z...

this is as it should be as we get closer to the event..... models SHOULD move closer in agreement


but there is increasing data that suggests RITA is going to get trapped UNDER the Ridge and NOT leave.... stalled for 5 days over central or eastern TX / eastern and central OK .... with some palces seeing I would guess 12-16 inches of rain

_______

Now I hope he's wrong about that one.


1,947 posted on 09/21/2005 1:53:26 PM PDT by Knitting A Conundrum (Act Justly, Love Mercy, and Walk Humbly With God Micah 6:8)
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To: Knitting A Conundrum

1,948 posted on 09/21/2005 1:54:45 PM PDT by dogbyte12
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To: dogbyte12

200 mph gusts. That is a bleeping bomb.


1,949 posted on 09/21/2005 1:55:16 PM PDT by dogbyte12
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To: Sprite518

You know I've noticed that left tilt myself lately, especially with Greg Kelly who reports on the White House. I have been very surprised at his sometimes liberal way of putting things. Maybe its just me.


1,950 posted on 09/21/2005 1:55:19 PM PDT by BlueAngel (Katy, Texas (just west of Houston) staying)
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To: MamaB
Hubby has been a ham since he was 12 years old and built his first rig. He built a Heathkit rig at one time. Do you remember those? It was fascinating to listen to him when he was on it talking to people all over the world.

My first lowband rig was a HeathKit SB-102. Loaded with fire bottles. I sold it to a ham in Mira Mesa and purchased my Icom 22S mobile rig. My house is full of HeathKit gear. H8 computer, H19 terminal, disk drives for H8, phone patch, CW auto keyer, HF wattmeter, RF dummyload (in a paint can), 6802 trainer and more. I started my interest in electronics at age 6 while in kindergarten. Show and tell included wiring up the bell/buzzer circuits. By 2nd grade I was assembling tube based amplifiers and simple radio circuits. Nikola Tesla was someone I really respected at that point. I never had the money to get into ham radio until I graduated from college in 1976. I earned a First Class Radiotelephone License with Ships RADAR endorsement and my Extra Class amateur radio license. Not exactly what you would expect of the molecular biologist, but you need some variety in life.

1,951 posted on 09/21/2005 1:55:33 PM PDT by Myrddin
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To: Howlin

And I, for one, would love to see one of them blown away ...when they're out there posturing in the gusts.

When that sheet metal missed Anderson Cooper and he stayed out there... that was it for me.


1,952 posted on 09/21/2005 1:55:42 PM PDT by AliVeritas (Ignorance is a condition. Stupidity is a strategy.)
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To: steveegg

Cool and thanks for the link..


1,953 posted on 09/21/2005 1:55:43 PM PDT by Sprite518
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To: Sprite518
You know if China wanted to take Taiwan.... Right now would be a good move...

To what? Build a bridge?

And how are we "stretched"?

1,954 posted on 09/21/2005 1:55:51 PM PDT by TomB ("The terrorist wraps himself in the world's grievances to cloak his true motives." - S. Rushdie)
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To: Strategerist; NautiNurse
Hurricane Rita Advisory Number 17

Statement as of 4:00 PM CDT on September 21, 2005

...Rita reaches 165 mph winds...becomes an extremely dangerous
category five hurricane...the second of the 2005 season... 

 
at 4 PM CDT...2100z...a Hurricane Watch has been issued for Gulf of
Mexico coast from Port Mansfield Texas to Cameron Louisiana.

 
At 4 PM CDT...2100z...a tropical storm watch has been issued for
east of Cameron to Grand Isle Louisiana and from south of Port
Mansfield to Brownsville.

 
At 4 PM CDT...2100z...the government of Mexico has issued a tropical
storm watch for the northeast coast of Mexico from Rio San Fernando
northward.

 
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area...generally within 36 hours. A tropical storm
watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the
watch area...generally within 36 hours.

 
Interests in the northwestern Gulf of Mexico should monitor the
progress of dangerous Hurricane Rita.

 
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 4 PM CDT...2100z...the eye of Hurricane Rita was located near
latitude 24.4 north...longitude 86.8 west or about 600 miles
east-southeast of Galveston Texas and about 700 miles east-southeast
of Corpus Christi Texas.

 
Rita is moving toward the west near 13 mph and this motion is
expected to continue during the next 24 hours.

 
Maximum sustained winds are near 165 mph...with higher gusts. Rita
is an extremely dangerous category five hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely
during the next 24 hours.

 
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles from the
center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175
miles.

 
Pressure has been falling rapidly during the day and the latest
minimum central pressure recently reported by an Air Force
reconnaissance plane was 914 mb...26.99 inches.

Tides are currently running near normal along the Mississippi and
Louisiana coasts in the areas affected by Katrina. Tides in those
areas will increase up to 3 to 4 feet over the next 24 hours with
large waves on top and residents there could experience flooding.

  
Repeating the 4 PM CDT position...24.4 N... 86.8 W.  Movement
toward...west near 13 mph.  Maximum sustained winds...165 mph. 
Minimum central pressure...914 mb.

 
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 7 PM CDT followed by the next complete advisory at 10 PM
CDT.

 
Forecaster Avila

  
$$

1,955 posted on 09/21/2005 1:56:14 PM PDT by steveegg ($3.00 a gallon is the price you pay for ANWR! Start drilling or stop whining! - HT Falcon4.0)
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To: tcrlaf

Are cruise ship locations here? My friend's daughter is on a cruise outa Galveston..Honeymoon:) They left Saturaday and are due back this Saturday...I gues ships will just stay out at sea?


1,956 posted on 09/21/2005 1:56:17 PM PDT by flowergirl ( Tyler Texas..Trust in the Lord with all your heart)
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To: Strategerist

The 908 came from the NOAA plane....don't know why NHC discounted the reading.


1,957 posted on 09/21/2005 1:56:27 PM PDT by ContemptofCourt
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To: rwfromkansas
Apparently registration is required for that site. Thanks for the info though. "North Texas" is where I am.

We're eight inches down around here, but we don't need to make up the deficit in six hours.

1,958 posted on 09/21/2005 1:56:58 PM PDT by sinkspur (Just west of DFW Airport. We can take in four or five and two dogs.)
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To: SE Mom

It was already 908 at one of the links someone posted an hour ago. Have to find that link.


1,959 posted on 09/21/2005 1:56:59 PM PDT by AliVeritas (Ignorance is a condition. Stupidity is a strategy.)
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To: carinafox5
Anyways, should I follow my personal gut feelings and be safe

With a 3-month-old, follow your feeling. get as far from the storm path as possible. Even if it's not actually dangerous, you can expect the probability of power failures, water supply compromises, supply hassles, etc, all over the region.

What would be tolerable for an adult or teen would make a baby miserable. Get as far from the storm path as you can

1,960 posted on 09/21/2005 1:57:10 PM PDT by SauronOfMordor (Never try to teach a pig to sing -- it wastes your time and it annoys the pig)
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