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To: RightWhale
This one is headed for Texas. If Louisiana gets anything it will be rain, not much wind.

Don't be so sure, RW! Based on the predicted track a few posts before yours, western Louisiana will be impacted by Rita's right-front quadrant and that quadrant is generally recognized to have the most damaging conditions at land-fall. From the link:

This is because the winds have an additive effect - the hurricane's sustained on-shore winds plus the speed of motion of the hurricane. So, if a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 100 mph is moving toward shore at 20 mph, the total wind speed at the coast could be about 120 mph in the right-front quadrant.

Because the onshore winds are strongest in the right-front quadrant, the surge and waves in that section of the cyclone are also the highest. "Depending on the tropical cyclone's speed of motion, wave action in a cyclone can be three times as high in the right-front quadrant than in the left-rear quadrant," says Lyons. "The right-front quadrant is definitely the damage quadrant at the coast."

N.O.LA got some after-the-fact flooding from Katrina but it was the Missippi Gulf coast that got obliterated by Katrina's right-front quadrant. If Rita's predicted path is towards the eastern side of the 'cone of probability', then Cajun country is in a whole lot of trouble.

26 posted on 09/20/2005 5:24:15 PM PDT by IonImplantGuru ("Me? You talking to me? You talkin' to me? Then [BLEEP]... Well, I'm the only one here.")
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To: IonImplantGuru

The region's flood control infrastructure is in a weakened condition. I think this is why the Mayor is showing concern. His levees and pumps might be overburdened by much less this time than what hit last time.


33 posted on 09/20/2005 6:01:20 PM PDT by RightWhale (We in heep dip trubble)
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To: IonImplantGuru

you are overestimating the size of the strong "right front quadrant"...we are talking 25-50 miles or so.....not 300.

based on current official track just southwest of galveston...la will experience nearly nothing.


48 posted on 09/20/2005 7:37:27 PM PDT by dennis1x
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