I suggest you go back to
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1487919/posts?page=944#944
and read past the first sentence.
Is the disinction that you are trying to draw between "deriving" and "speculating" or are you trying to claim that you need a known history in order to speculate about an unknown history? I can't really tell because it's not clear to me.
With respect to the first point, speculation does not disqualify something from being science. With respect to the second point, it's possible to reasonably speculate about the history of an object without having a known history or example to compare with by looking at its form and features.
Or are you trying to make some other point?