A simple 5 day forecast point is one thing in terms of wild inaccuracy but simply doing a straight line extrapolation of the 4 to 5 day movement to pick a specific county is even more misleading.
If it does indeed curve as indicated it would likely continue curving, thus putting the system in north of Corpus Christi.
A variety of Globals don't have a northward curve at all and still hit Mexico.
I'm somewhat dubious of that much ridging over the GOM holding for 5 days, in late September.
However, given the complete model consensus on the track through 3 days I think any landfall on the Gulf Coast east of Texas can be completely and utterly written off.
This one definitely has my attention because I'm located on the northward line of the projected path.
But it's way too early to hit the panic button. A landfall at Brownsville will only mean an unusual eastern breeze in Houston. Not really noticeable.