All polls do not use the same methods to arrive at weighting BUT, I can dispute your claim.
Carville's own group has conducted studies recently. They have stated while Republicans popularity has fallen, Democrats have fallen more. They haven't been able to pick up dissatisfied voters. So it just isn't believeable 9% more identify with Democrats now based on even James Carville's own studies.
According to Scott Rasmussen, who got the 2004 and 2002 election right, Bush has polled from 43% to 50% among national adults all year.
An average of 46.5%, which is similar to today's result.
He also states that 'likely voter models have Bush 3 points higher.
This means Bush's Job Approval is about 49.5% among likely voters. This is down 2.5 points from Election Day 2004.
Not bad considering the media onslaught.
Also, keep this in mind.
Bill Clinton averaged 65% approval in 1996 in all lib polls.
He got 49.2% on election day 1996.
It is media bias inflation.
An astute observation. I see Klink trying to run Hillary's campaign using Snakehead as his Svengali, and I see Hillary resisting almost all of their advice.