Did the models predict the total breakdown in civil order--rioting, looting, arson, rape, murder....???
It is the responsibility of the mayor to know his city and know the people who run the departments in the city.
For 2/3 of the police officers in New Orleans to abandon their jobs and/or join the looters in trashing the city, it is clear Nagin knew how corrupt his police force was, he knew the crime rate in the city WAS TEN TIMES the national average, and he knew that chaos would result because there is chaos every single day in New Orleans with a crime rate like that.
No sane person could honestly say that the lawlessness caught them by surprise. Even on a good day, New Orleans is America's Fallujah.
The models should have predicted that the first order of business would be to enforce STRICT security. If they had not, then this is yet another example of the RAT Cancer politically correctness where even a multimillion dollar computer model simulation fails to input the non-politically correct fact that New Orleans is a cesspool of crime and you better damn well take that into account in any honest computer model.
DUH?? It doesn't take an expert or a computer model to "predict" a disaster when you have a large part of a city below sea-level protected by levees that are designed to protect from a Cat. 3 storm when you are hit with a Cat .4.
Even James Carville knew what would happen in this situation. He said on T V that everybody in LA knew that this would happen someday. He said people have talked for years about what would happen when the "big one" came.
Just imagine THAT meeting.
"Okay, now, how much time should we allow to wait while some of the citizens rape, murder, loot, and basically trash the city?"