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To: IronJack

the following is from http://capmag.com/article.asp?ID=1164

Even the Department of Energy's study found that price caps -- which, let's not forget, are what got California into this mess in the first place -- won't improve the energy situation. In fact, they'll likely make it worse.

The study concluded that a $150 "hard cap" on electricity bills -- like the one proposed by California Gov. Gray Davis -- will make it much more costly to produce power, leading some companies to shut down. This could wipe out as much as 3,600 megawatts of generating capacity in the state. That's enough power to keep the lights burning in more than 300,000 homes.

And the most popular alternate price-fixing scheme -- a "Cost-Plus-$25" proposal -- would discourage "only" 1,300 megawatts from being added to the state's capacity. Reasonable people may disagree on how to solve California's crisis, but surely no one would argue for less capacity.

Price caps also "could double the number of rolling blackouts from 113 to 235 hours and increase the number of households in the dark to about 1.575 million," the study says.

Mere guesswork, critics may respond. Fine, but they can't shrug off what history teaches us about price caps. It's all laid out in a book published more than 20 years ago by The Heritage Foundation titled "Forty Centuries of Wage and Price Controls: How Not to Fight Inflation," by Robert Schuettinger and Eamonn Butler.

The book outlines the unqualified failure of price controls from ancient Egypt forward. Consider what happened when the Pharaohs, under the guise of preventing famine, tried to control the wheat supply. Over time, control gave way to direction and direction to outright government ownership. Farmers, with no profit motive left, produced less and less wheat until -- surprise! -- famine set in. The economy collapsed, workers abandoned the cities and, finally, in about 3000 B.C., the reign of the Pharaohs ended.

Hammurabi's legacy to the world is that he authored the first-ever formal written law codes. But his legacy to the Babylonian empire is the extensive wage and price controls he included in that first code. They weakened the economy so much they eventually brought down the empire itself.

The Roman emperor Diocletian tried wage and price controls in an effort to right the market after earlier price controls had failed. In the fourth century B.C., the Roman government bought corn and, in times of shortage, re-sold it at a low fixed price. In 58 B.C., it went further and granted every citizen free wheat. Farmers began streaming into Rome because they could live and eat without working. By the time of Julius Ceasar, one in three Romans was receiving government wheat.

The government tried to fix things by coining more money. But that just added skyrocketing inflation to the mix. Diocletian imposed wage and price controls and ordered that anyone who violated the controls or withheld goods from the market be killed.

The result, in the words of one historian: "The people brought provisions no more to market, since they could not get a reasonable price for them, and this increased the dearth so much that … the law itself was set aside." Soon thereafter, Diocletian found himself set aside --forced from the throne after just four years.

Then there was the former British colony of Bengal. In 1770, its rice crop failed, and the government imposed price controls. A third of the population died in the ensuing famine. Nearly a century later, Bengal again faced famine. This time, the government encouraged speculation in rice. Merchants went elsewhere to buy rice, brought it back to Bengal, sold it at a profit and averted the famine.

Americans haven't been able to resist the lure of price controls, either. From the time of the Continental Army, when price controls nearly brought a ruinous end to the American Revolution, to the 1970s, when President Nixon attempted to overcome creeping inflation with wage and price freezes, American consumers have taken their lumps from these failed policies.

So will Congress listen to the Department of Energy and to history? Or do we again have to learn this lesson the hard way?


258 posted on 09/03/2005 12:55:17 PM PDT by flashbunny (Defending the free market on free republic is like having to defend the flag at a VFW convention.)
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To: flashbunny
You've jumped the argument from one of oil to one of electricity, but let's assume the commodity being sold is irrelevant.

How does putting a price cap on electricity make the electricity "much more costly to produce"?

I would also think that temporary price controls -- "anti-gouging" legislation -- falls under a slightly different set of constraints than indefinite wage/price regulation.

I'm having trouble understanding how gasoline which was being sold profitably for $2 a gallon is suddenly not profitable unless it's being sold at $6 a gallon. Or how jacking the price to $6 a gallon is actually doing consumers a favor by discouraging them from buying, so there'll be gas available to those who need it. That is only true if "those who need it" happen to have $6 a gallon for their gasoline.

For a tactic that was implemented to discourage consumption, the price gouging in Atlanta seemed to have exactly the opposite effect. Lines formed around the block, and stations sold out for the first time in decades. And that was after the price tripled overnight.

I wonder if some of these fantasy market pressures are actually just greed dressed up in an economist's suit. Pure, raw, unbridled moneylust would go farther toward explaining the recent gas price surges than any market mechanism.

Again, I must stress that I'm not arguing for price controls, or government intervention of any sort. But it seems to me that some of the reasons for rejecting that suggestion are pretty flimsy. Or maybe I just misunderstand this whole free market argument.

259 posted on 09/03/2005 1:16:46 PM PDT by IronJack
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To: flashbunny

Wow, I consider myself to be a history buff, but it appears you are an economics history buff.


263 posted on 09/03/2005 2:58:45 PM PDT by stylin_geek (Liberalism: comparable to a chicken with its head cut off, but with more spastic motions)
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