[Terabitten]

That many people did not listen to the calls to get out before. Wow, seems high.

It's not really all that high when you think about it. There's something like 975,000 people that live in NO. So, let's say that 80% of the population heeded the evacuation orders, which is the number I've read here on FR. That leaves 195,000. If that 195k people only had a 1% casualty rate, that's still 1,950 people. I'd expect the casualty rate to be much higher, in the 4-5% range. So, I won't be surprised if there's as many as 5-8 thousand dead.

[superiorslots]

Quote: If that 195k people only had a 1% casualty rate, that's still 1,950 people. I'd expect the casualty rate to be much higher, in the 4-5% range. So, I won't be surprised if there's as many as 5-8 thousand dead.



Something that is not mentioned is that very very few black people know how to swim. Not that they can't but they don't generally have the same opportunities as youngsters to learn.

[MikefromOhio]

So, I won't be surprised if there's as many as 5-8 thousand dead.

Which, in terms of intensity, cost, deaths and destruction would make it the worst ever.

[SoCal Pubbie]

On the Larry Elder show on KABC this afternoon I heard an excerpt from the head of the Hurricane Research Center at LSU. He said about 250,000- 300,000 people did not evacuate. Their computer models predicted 1/3 of the people would drown. That's a 100,000! I hope I didn't hear him right.