This is based on the eye passing over directly, right?
What if the eye moves east? Is the danger the same?
I don't want to have a false sense of security, either.
If the eye passes east, you have the danger of Lake Ponchatrain flooding the city. If it passes west you have the stronger winds. It's gonna be bad either way.
From what has been described as the 'worse case scenario' for flooding, winds blowing east to west push water into Lake Ponchatrain. Lake fills to top of levees. That is happening right now and has been happening for about an hour or two. Then as hurricane passes north of Lake, back side of hurricane has northeast to southeast or north to south winds which force water to flow over levees. We wanted it to land west of New Orleans. Like the last one that spared the city catastrophic flooding. The only change now is a slight jog to east. That still does not prevent catastrophic flooding. Only lessens the severity.