I wonder if this hurricane might cut an inlet across Plaquemines Parish and create a new island out of the southern tip.
"I wonder if this hurricane might cut an inlet across Plaquemines Parish and create a new island out of the
southern tip."
I'd say that the odds of breaches are pretty high, but that area ranges from 13 feet ASL to 17 feet and accounts for half to three quarters of the eyewall area at any given time. That's a lot of sand, which won't just vaporize; it has to end up somewhere, so I'd hesitate to make any specific predictions.
A guess at gunpoint?
Perhaps it will tend to fetch up on the taller sandbars due east of downtown, which range up to 18-20' ASL.
It's just no telling.
Until Tuesday morning at the earliest, we have little choice but to try and piece together fragmentary spot reports, and given how often early reports are wrong, we'll still be guessing right up until the first overflights are completed, which I don't expect before midday Tuesday.