Hell, it could for all I know. I guess there has to be a first time for everything, even for Joe Bastardi to make a good call.
I'm looking at the NO radar loop now - it looks to me that it would go just west of the city on it's present track, but it'll doubtless wobble on it's way in. The last loop I looked at, it looked like it was going even further west. No matter what, New orleans is in for a huge hit. There just isn't much room for it to make a really radical turn any more.
the tradeoff is wind/surge versus flooding from the lake. not sure which one is "better". most of the weather saavy people on this thread believe its "better" for the eye to go west of NO, even if its just slightly west of it, rather then east.
its funny that none of the weather forecasters - Lyons. Mayfield, Bastardi - talk about this.