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Posted on 08/28/2005 9:35:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse
The people in the bars were telling the press that they "chose" not to leave.
carolyn I like Shep but I'm not so sure he likes women. Just a hunch.
Fox can't get him outta there? I'm not watching TV. Are the winds that bad already?
Hi, Northern. We're in S.C. so I'm not really quite sure how those parishes work. Hope you're well out of harm's way.
It could still quite plausibly go anywhere from Matagorda Bay in Texas to Tampa Bay in Florida, but there's probably about a 90% chance it's gonna be somewhere between Pensacola and due south of Lafayette, and most of the computer models have it firmly on track for just east of Lake Pontchartrain and New Orleans.
How scary!!!
He's gonna be right-smack dab in the middle!
902 mb now
URNT12 KNHC 281950
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 28/1923Z
B. 26 DEG 34 MIN N
88 DEG 51 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2235 M
D. N/A
E. N/A
F. 225 DEG 148 KT
G. 126 DEG 18 NM
H. 902 MB
I. 14 C/ 3055 M
J. 29 C/ 3032 M
K. 9 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C28
N. 12345/7
O. 1/1 NM
P. NOAA3 1812A KATRINA OB 12
MAX FL WIND 160 KTS NE QUAD 1743Z
EXCELLENT RADAR PRESENTATION
Yeah I heard that too, 20 mile diameter, I don't believe it, but the storm does go through EWR, so who knows. The TV is likely to be the last to get it right :)
It is my worry that it will not undergo an ERC either. This may already be an annular hurricane and will stay at this strength or grow before landfall.
People on the Easternwx boards are saying...."north turn" and that it will miss NO.
Well, the reality is, it actually is tracking slightly to the WEST of the forecast track.
It will go in between NO and Gulfport, but probably closer to NO.
We will not see the ultimate disaster we could have seen if it went right over the city, but the thing is, with a cat 5 with a huge eye and large area of cat 4 and 5 winds, the ANGLE OF APPROACH MATTERS NIL.
Hundreds will still probably die and the city will still probably flood really bad.
I'll guess about 350 miles.
However, if Katrina doesn't take that Northern turn soon, we may get it.
The area I'm in is all wood-frame housing. Nothing here would survive a storm of this magnitude.
You're correct, water is now moving into Lake Ponthchartrain from the eastern surge. The latest eye path has it going to the east of the lake with the north winds blowing the water from the full lake over (through?) the levee.
Going to the movies place marker
Scary yes, but less so than this morning, when one of the cousins said she wanted to stay with her house.
Prayers up for their safety.
I was pretty harsh with them last night, but I'll cut them slack and here's why:
They are both new to their posts. To declare a mandatory evacuation, they were required to have shelters to house those who had to be evacuated. It appears they were waiting for people to leave on their own first so they could shelter 100,000 or less. The Dome only holds 20,000 to 30,000 people.
Like President Bush, they inherited a mess left by previous administrations and are now expected to make miracles because money was spent elsewhere and not for an event that may or may not destroy their city and devastate their state.
Mozie, you know I pray for your dear son every day. And it sounds like he will indeed be very busy over the next few days and weeks.
Thanks for the confirmation.
Thanks, I appreciate it.
The big question is 'Where's Jim Cantore?'
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