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Posted on 08/27/2005 8:05:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse
I am skeptical just because it feels like we have been here before. But, I think this might be the one we have feared.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES...260 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 935 MB...27.61 INCHES.
a 140 mile wide swath of hurricane force winds
OMG
Every webcam I have found seems to show business as usual. This is completely insane.
I suppose if you're buried under a 20-foot+ storm surge, another 17 inches won't matter much, but it'll add to the problems.
Hey Debbie! Nice to see you on here! Welcome to Insomniacs' Anonymous. ;-)
Good Luck to you Blam and my aunt and cousin in Fairhope, friends in Theodore.
Friends in Point Clear, Ocean Springs, New Orleans and most of all my cousin in Golden Meadow who better have gotten himself and his huge family outta there...at least to Houma.
...Katrina strengthens to category four with 145 mph winds...
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the north central Gulf Coast from Morgan City Louisiana eastward to the Alabama/Florida border...including the city of New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch are in effect from east of the Alabama/Florida border to Destin Florida...and from west of Morgan City to Intracoastal City Louisiana. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 1 am CDT...0600z...the center of Hurricane Katrina was located near latitude 25.1 north... longitude 86.8 west or about 310 miles... 500 km... south-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River.
Katrina is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph. A gradual turn toward the northwest is expected later today.
Reports from an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased and are now near 145 mph...with higher gusts. Katrina is a category four hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Some additional strengthening is possible today.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles...110 km... from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 160 miles...260 km.
The minimum central pressure recently reported by the reconnaissance aircraft was 935 mb...27.61 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 15 to 20 feet above normal tide levels...locally as high as 25 feet along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near and to the east of where the center makes landfall.
Heavy rains from Katrina should begin to affect the central Gulf Coast Sunday evening. Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches...with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches...are possible along the path of Katrina. The hurricane is still expected to produce additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches over extreme western Cuba...and 1 to 3 inches of rainfall is expected over the Yucatan Peninsula.
Repeating the 1 am CDT position...25.1 N... 86.8 W. Movement toward...west-northwest near 8 mph. Maximum sustained winds...145 mph. Minimum central pressure... 935 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 4 am CDT.
Forecaster Knabb
Whoa!
Weather Channel just moved this from 115MPH weak Cat 3 at 11PM edt to 145 Strong Cat 4 at 2AM edt!!!
Looks like it hit a hot patch of 90 degree water in the Gulf.
New Orleans is history if this intensification continues, and on the current path...
Any one who knows anyone down there have them drive now. Don't wait another second...
Reagan80
It's only 11:15 here in CA. The night is young :-)
Sending prayers from Sarasota!
It has not hit yet I am not certain if they are expecting tomorrow or Monday! Some people are just taking it in stride!
MCD
Hi there, Starwise! Posted a reply from the Crawford thread. You are so right about focus. Someone just posted there that Katrina was not as important as our troops in Iraq. Good Grief! Tunnel vision? Or, definitely does not live in the danger zone (prob. both).
I fear the worse too. We are still here in Metairie (suburb of New Orleans) we have been boarding up all day. All the birds have left. We usually hear them at night. It is totally quiet.
Smart, informed people who don't depend on the Government will get out. I feel sorry for everyone else. Goes to show who you elect can in reality, possibly cost you your life.
Can't FEMA wrest control of the city away from these idiots and start evac people? This is no time for hurricane parties.
"Hugo was a 5 as well (1985)"
Hugo was a 4 and it was 1989
Thx for your insight. I'm not not a hurricane expert but I've called these things correct before with some fuzzy logic in summing up all the trends, patterns and variables.
I got in a debate with a bunch of experts here before the last big Cat 5 developed, though on that one I also relied on a solitary report from one expert that no one else had known of. He was making way too much sense to ignore so I tried to sound the alarm early.
This is my worst fear realized. They've had too many close calls. They feel invincible in southeast Louisiana. Everyone I've talked to down there (friends and family) say the same thing, "it's gonna' turn." I haven't read or heard anything at all in the way of evidence that this could happen.
I just checked the NHC's web site for their 2AM update.
They show no real movement in Katrina's path - it still appears to be coming in right over NO.
of course, there's a lot of time left yet. We could still see a slight eastward drift that would bring it closer to Gulfport or Biloxi.
NO would then potentially be spared the cataclysmic direct hit that's been feared.
I'm not worried about this one...as to evacuating., I've got no place to go to. Evac plans for this part of DelMarVa equal no more than "Get to 13 and drive north."
You are probably in a worse situation location wise than I am.
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