Yep--recon
wow.
That is something around 35-40 MB today....
Of course you could take a bath in the GOM, but still....
The thing that really worries me if that this entire SW turn wasn't even anticipated except by one model, which was off on the timing a few days ago.
I wonder how solid the intensity forecasts are, not to mention the locations.....
scary stuff indeed.
I was just looking at the water vapor image loops.
I think I see a couple things...
first of all, this is easily the best the storm has looked.
secondly, it appears that the high pressure both to the North and to the West remain strong (I think they pointed that out at 11PM as well).
third, the motion looks more like SW instead of WSW and I don't see anything to change it until at least the 1100AM timeframe....