Face it, mate, the weatherguessers have scrod up big time on Katrina.
Their current guess is landfall between Natchez and N.O. -- offer you 6 to 5 against that THAT notion's wrong, too.
I remember one hurricane that went in circles in the gulf for days before finally making landfall. Can't remember which one it was but it was fun to watch. Does anyone else remember?
You've lost perception of the time span of a track forecast.